TransferHype
Winter 2027

Kaoru Mitoma

MF

Brighton → Tottenham Hotspur · Permanent · Winter 2027

Will Kaoru Mitoma join Tottenham Hotspur? Unlikely for now: 11%, still a rumour, on 2 posts since 2 Oct.

11%
Unlikely
first reported 1mo agolast moved 1mo ago
  1. Rumoured
    2 Oct
  2. Talks
    —
  3. Agreement
    —
  4. Medical
    —
  5. Done
    —

Contested — 2 clubs

Each figure is what one club's own reports support, reduced because he can only sign for one of them. They add up to the chance he moves at all, not to 100.

What was actually said

2 posts in 1 claim, grouped by stage and direction.

Mentioned, no claim either way

Neutral2 reports, led by @TEAMtalk

🇯🇵 Kaoru Mitoma continues to stall on signing a new contract with Brighton - and with his deal expiring at the season's end, Tottenham Hotspur are one of the sides exploring a potential cut-price January deal @FrazFletcher | #THFC https://t.co/wDpdo58CR8

claims RumouredView on X ↗
1 other post on the same claim
  • @TEAMtalk1mo ago ↗

    Liverpool and Tottenham are interested in Brighton winger Kaoru Mitoma - either on a cut-price deal in January or for free next summer 🇯🇵 https://t.co/YaVaBiQRzu

Why 11%

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+9
Turned down a new contractreported by @TEAMtalk — about the player, not this move
+3
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−1
2 further reportseach worth under half a point
Completion probability
11%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

2045752 Oct11 Oct5 Nov
832 recomputations▼ 11 points over the trail