Brighton → Liverpool · Winter 2027

Will Kaoru Mitoma join Liverpool? Unlikely for now: 11%, still a rumour, on 1 post since 2 Oct.

11%
Unlikely
first reported 1mo agolast moved 1mo ago
  1. Rumoured
    2 Oct
  2. Talks
    —
  3. Agreement
    —
  4. Medical
    —
  5. Done
    —

Contested — 2 clubs

Each figure is what one club's own reports support, reduced because he can only sign for one of them. They add up to the chance he moves at all, not to 100.

What was actually said

1 post in 1 claim, grouped by stage and direction.

Mentioned, no claim either way

Neutralone report

Liverpool and Tottenham are interested in Brighton winger Kaoru Mitoma - either on a cut-price deal in January or for free next summer 🇯🇵 https://t.co/YaVaBiQRzu

claims RumouredView on X ↗

Why 11%

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+9
Turned down a new contractreported by @TEAMtalk — about the player, not this move
+3
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−1
1 further reporteach worth under half a point
Completion probability
11%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

2045752 Oct13 Oct5 Nov
832 recomputations▼ 11 points over the trail