Nottingham Forest → Liverpool · Summer 2027

Will Murillo join Liverpool? Unlikely for now: 9%, still a rumour, on 1 post since 4 Oct.

9%
Unlikely
first reported 1mo agolast moved 1mo ago
  1. Rumoured
    4 Oct
  2. Talks
    —
  3. Agreement
    —
  4. Medical
    —
  5. Done
    —

Contested — 2 clubs

Each figure is what one club's own reports support, reduced because he can only sign for one of them. They add up to the chance he moves at all, not to 100.

What was actually said

1 post in 1 claim, grouped by stage and direction.

Mentioned, no claim either way

Neutralone report

🔴 Liverpool learn whether Nottingham Forest will sell Murillo in January #LFC #NFFC https://t.co/kbvSYQncQg

claims RumouredView on X ↗

Why 9%

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+9
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−1
1 further reporteach worth under half a point
Completion probability
9%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

2045754 Oct7 Oct6 Nov
788 recomputations▼ 5 points over the trail