TransferHype
Winter 2027

Murillo

DF

Nottingham Forest → Manchester United · Summer 2027

Will Murillo join Manchester United? Unlikely for now: 9%, still a rumour, on 1 post since 7 Oct.

9%
Unlikely
first reported 1mo agolast moved 1mo ago
  1. Rumoured
    7 Oct
  2. Talks
    —
  3. Agreement
    —
  4. Medical
    —
  5. Done
    —

Contested — 2 clubs

Each figure is what one club's own reports support, reduced because he can only sign for one of them. They add up to the chance he moves at all, not to 100.

What was actually said

1 post in 1 claim, grouped by stage and direction.

Reported as a live interest

Advancingone report

🔴⚫️ Manchester United planning defensive revolution in 2027, with four left-backs and two centre-halves on their wishlist As a result, a reporter has doubled down on INEOS's plans to sign Nottingham Forest powerhouse Murillo https://t.co/99cJoBcjvb #MUFC

claims RumouredView on X ↗

Why 9%

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+10
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−1
1 further reporteach worth under half a point
Completion probability
9%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

2045757 Oct12 Oct5 Nov
705 recomputations▼ 10 points over the trail