🔴 Liverpool exploring January deal to sign Barcelona midfielder Marc Bernal, reporter claims - and the teenager may just have what Andoni Iraola desperately needs ⤵️ #LFC https://t.co/PCYKLN3cKC
claims TalksView on X ↗
Barcelona → Liverpool · Winter 2027
Will Marc Bernal join Liverpool? Unlikely for now: 3%, still a rumour, on 4 posts since 4 Oct.
3%
Unlikely
first reported 1mo agolast moved 23d ago
- Rumoured4 Oct
- Talks—
- Agreement—
- Medical—
- Done—
Contested — 2 clubs
Each figure is what one club's own reports support, reduced because he can only sign for one of them. They add up to the chance he moves at all, not to 100.
- LiverpoolRumouredquiet 23d ago3%since 4 Oct · 4 posts
- since 10 Sept · 1 post
Catch me up
What was actually said
4 posts in 3 claims, grouped by stage and direction.
Reported as being in talks
Advancingone reportclaims TalksView on X ↗
Said to be cooling
Coolingone reportclaims RumouredView on X ↗
Mentioned, no claim either way
Neutral2 reports, led by @TEAMtalk@TEAMtalk had it first, 1mo agoclaims RumouredView on X ↗
Why 3%
Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+10
Signed a new contractreported by @FabrizioRomano — about the player, not this move
−7
5 further reportseach worth under half a point
Completion probability
3%
Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.
Probability over time
- −1123d ago@TEAMtalk: Liverpool interested in Barcelona midfielder Marc Bernal but set to miss out as he signs new long-term contract with Barcelona
- +726d ago@TEAMtalk: Liverpool exploring January deal to sign Barcelona midfielder Marc Bernal
- −320d agono new post: we re-read the reporting