claims RumouredView on X ↗
Barcelona → Chelsea · Winter 2027
Will Marc Bernal join Chelsea? Unlikely for now: 3%, still a rumour, on 1 post since 10 Sep.
3%
Unlikely
first reported 2mo agolast moved 2mo ago
- Rumoured10 Sept
- Talks—
- Agreement—
- Medical—
- Done—
Contested — 2 clubs
Each figure is what one club's own reports support, reduced because he can only sign for one of them. They add up to the chance he moves at all, not to 100.
- since 4 Oct · 4 posts
- ChelseaRumouredquiet 2mo ago3%since 10 Sept · 1 post
What was actually said
1 post in 1 claim, grouped by stage and direction.
Reported as a live interest
Advancingone reportWhy 3%
Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+9
Signed a new contractreported by @FabrizioRomano — about the player, not this move
−6
2 further reportseach worth under half a point
Completion probability
3%
Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.
Probability over time
- −523d agonews on a rival destination