TransferHype
Winter 2027

Peyton Miller

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New England Revolution → Arsenal · Winter 2027

Will Peyton Miller join Arsenal? Unlikely for now: 8%, still a rumour, on 2 posts since 6 Oct.

8%
Unlikely
first reported 1mo agolast moved 1mo ago
  1. Rumoured
    6 Oct
  2. Talks
    —
  3. Agreement
    —
  4. Medical
    —
  5. Done
    —

Contested — 3 clubs

Each figure is what one club's own reports support, reduced because he can only sign for one of them. They add up to the chance he moves at all, not to 100.

What was actually said

2 posts in 1 claim, grouped by stage and direction.

Mentioned, no claim either way

Neutral2 reports, led by @TEAMtalk

🇺🇸 Transfer 𝙀𝙓𝘾𝙇𝙐𝙎𝙄𝙑𝙀 Arsenal send top scouts to check on the United States' most recent debutant Peyton Miller - but as @GraemeBailey writes, they will face competition from Liverpool and Chelsea among others https://t.co/HTbf556Q4k #transfernews

claims RumouredView on X ↗
1 other post on the same claim
  • @TEAMtalk1mo ago ↗

    🇺🇸 𝙀𝙓𝘾𝙇𝙐𝙎𝙄𝙑𝙀 The United States' most recent debutant, Peyton Miller, is attracting strong attention from Arsenal and Liverpool - with both Premier League clubs dispatching scouts to check on the teenager. @GraemeBailey https://t.co/HTbf556ieM #transfernews

Why 8%

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+9
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−2
2 further reportseach worth under half a point
Completion probability
8%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457511 Oct: +4 points, after @TEAMtalk7 Oct11 Oct5 Nov
708 recomputations▲ 1 points over the trail
  1. +425d ago@TEAMtalk: Arsenal send scouts to check on Peyton Miller