New England Revolution → Chelsea · Winter 2027

Will Peyton Miller join Chelsea? Unlikely for now: 8%, still a rumour, on 1 post since 6 Oct.

8%
Unlikely
first reported 1mo agolast moved 1mo ago
  1. Rumoured
    6 Oct
  2. Talks
    —
  3. Agreement
    —
  4. Medical
    —
  5. Done
    —

Contested — 3 clubs

Each figure is what one club's own reports support, reduced because he can only sign for one of them. They add up to the chance he moves at all, not to 100.

What was actually said

1 post in 1 claim, grouped by stage and direction.

Mentioned, no claim either way

Neutralone report

🇺🇸 Transfer 𝙀𝙓𝘾𝙇𝙐𝙎𝙄𝙑𝙀 Arsenal send top scouts to check on the United States' most recent debutant Peyton Miller - but as @GraemeBailey writes, they will face competition from Liverpool and Chelsea among others https://t.co/HTbf556Q4k #transfernews

claims RumouredView on X ↗

Why 8%

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+9
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−2
1 further reporteach worth under half a point
Completion probability
8%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457511 Oct13 Oct5 Nov
608 recomputations▼ 2 points over the trail