Brighton → Bayern Munich · Summer 2027

Will Luka Vušković join Bayern Munich? Unlikely for now: 10%, still a rumour, on 2 posts since 9 Oct.

10%
Unlikely
first reported 27d agolast moved 14d ago
  1. Rumoured
    9 Oct
  2. Talks
    —
  3. Agreement
    —
  4. Medical
    —
  5. Done
    —

Contested — 2 clubs

Each figure is what one club's own reports support, reduced because he can only sign for one of them. They add up to the chance he moves at all, not to 100.

What was actually said

2 posts in 1 claim, grouped by stage and direction.

Mentioned, no claim either way

Neutral2 reports, led by @TEAMtalk@TEAMtalk had it first, 27d ago

❗️ Chelsea, Barcelona and Bayern Munich all want to sign a player Tottenham might already regret selling - Luka Vuskovic Full details via @FrazFletcher ⤵️ https://t.co/7Bvj9iOf5k

claims RumouredView on X ↗
1 other post on the same claim
  • @TEAMtalk27d ago ↗

    🇩🇪 Bayern Munich retain an interest in Brighton star Luka Vuskovic, although two stars must be offloaded first 👀 @FrazFletcher✍️ | #BHAFC https://t.co/HkmmaZyNGv

Why 10%

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+11
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−1
2 further reportseach worth under half a point
Completion probability
10%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

2045759 Oct25 Oct5 Nov
655 recomputations▼ 4 points over the trail