Brighton → Liverpool · Permanent · Summer 2027

Will Luka Vušković join Liverpool? Unlikely for now: 9%, still a rumour, on 3 posts since 26 Oct.

9%
Unlikely
first reported 11d agolast moved 9d ago
  1. Rumoured
    26 Oct
  2. Talks
    —
  3. Agreement
    —
  4. Medical
    —
  5. Done
    —

Contested — 2 clubs

Each figure is what one club's own reports support, reduced because he can only sign for one of them. They add up to the chance he moves at all, not to 100.

What was actually said

3 posts in 2 claims, grouped by stage and direction.

Said to be cooling

Coolingone report

🔴Liverpool have a been told a 'huge fee' stands between them and Brighton star Luka Vuskovic #LFC https://t.co/Ag1Qq0pFAs

claims Rumoured−1 pointView on X ↗

Mentioned, no claim either way

Neutral2 reports, led by @TEAMtalk

🚨🆕 Liverpool are monitoring Luka Vuskovic closely as they consider a move for the Brighton defender next summer 👀 Real Madrid and Barcelona are also interested in the 19-year-old 🌟 @FrazFletcher | #LFC #BHAFC https://t.co/fPgsCnKXh8

claims RumouredView on X ↗
1 other post on the same claim
  • @TEAMtalk10d ago ↗

    Liverpool have joined Real Madrid and Barcelona in the race to sign Brighton centre-back Luka Vuskovic, TEAMtalk understands 🇭🇷 https://t.co/vQ5NtSYq5k

Why 9%

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+11
TEAMtalk coolingBroke ittrust 0.52, 72% faded
−1
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−1
2 further reportseach worth under half a point
Completion probability
9%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457527 Oct: −4 points, after @TEAMtalk26 Oct27 Oct5 Nov
245 recomputations▼ 3 points over the trail
  1. −49d ago@TEAMtalk: Liverpool have been told a huge fee stands between them and Brighton star Luka Vuskovic