Atlético Madrid → Manchester United · Winter 2027

Will Giuliano Simeone join Manchester United? Unlikely for now: 9%, still a rumour, on 3 posts since 10 Oct.

9%
Unlikely
first reported 26d agolast moved 16d ago
  1. Rumoured
    10 Oct
  2. Talks
    —
  3. Agreement
    —
  4. Medical
    —
  5. Done
    —

Contested — 3 clubs

Each figure is what one club's own reports support, reduced because he can only sign for one of them. They add up to the chance he moves at all, not to 100.

What was actually said

3 posts in 2 claims, grouped by stage and direction.

Said to be cooling

Coolingone report

Man Utd will find it "difficult" to sign Atletico Madrid forward Giuliano Simeone in January, sources have told Football Insider 🇦🇷 Would he be a good fit for the Red Devils? Vote below NOW 👇 https://t.co/3OveW35pEv https://t.co/v2ygmt3sUO

claims RumouredView on X ↗

Mentioned, no claim either way

Neutral2 reports, led by @TEAMtalk@TEAMtalk had it first, 26d ago

🔴 Encouraging Giuliano Simeone display for Atletico Madrid v Espanyol, as Man Utd target Argentine winger #MUFC https://t.co/fwTA9INGrG

claims RumouredView on X ↗
1 other post on the same claim
  • @TEAMtalk26d ago ↗

    🇦🇷 Man Utd and Man City have joined Tottenham in eyeing Atletico Madrid's Giuliano Simeone, we can reveal @GraemeBailey #MUFC #MCFC #THFC https://t.co/aDvF3LfYUD

Why 9%

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+10
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−1
3 further reportseach worth under half a point
Completion probability
9%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457517 Oct: +8 points, after @TEAMtalk10 Oct17 Oct5 Nov
631 recomputations▲ 5 points over the trail
  1. +819d ago@TEAMtalk: Man Utd target Argentine winger Giuliano Simeone of Atletico Madrid