Atlético Madrid → Manchester City · Winter 2027

Will Giuliano Simeone join Manchester City? Unlikely for now: 4%, still a rumour, on 1 post since 10 Oct.

4%
Unlikely
first reported 26d agolast moved 26d ago
  1. Rumoured
    10 Oct
  2. Talks
    —
  3. Agreement
    —
  4. Medical
    —
  5. Done
    —

Contested — 3 clubs

Each figure is what one club's own reports support, reduced because he can only sign for one of them. They add up to the chance he moves at all, not to 100.

What was actually said

1 post in 1 claim, grouped by stage and direction.

Mentioned, no claim either way

Neutralone report

🇦🇷 Man Utd and Man City have joined Tottenham in eyeing Atletico Madrid's Giuliano Simeone, we can reveal @GraemeBailey #MUFC #MCFC #THFC https://t.co/aDvF3LfYUD

claims RumouredView on X ↗

Why 4%

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+10
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−5
1 further reporteach worth under half a point
Completion probability
4%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457510 Oct17 Oct5 Nov
631 recomputations▲ 0 points over the trail