Valencia → Newcastle · Winter 2027

Will David Otorbi join Newcastle? Unlikely for now: 10%, still a rumour, on 2 posts since 19 Oct.

10%
Unlikely
first reported 18d agolast moved 16d ago
  1. Rumoured
    19 Oct
  2. Talks
    —
  3. Agreement
    —
  4. Medical
    —
  5. Done
    —

Contested — 2 clubs

Each figure is what one club's own reports support, reduced because he can only sign for one of them. They add up to the chance he moves at all, not to 100.

What was actually said

2 posts in 2 claims, grouped by stage and direction.

Reported as a live interest

Advancingone report

The agent of Valencia's David Otorbi has confirmed Premier League interest, as Newcastle scouts were wowed by the attacker over the weekend 😲 #NUFC https://t.co/ZEBoqEW0v9

claims RumouredView on X ↗

Mentioned, no claim either way

Neutralone report

Newcastle's chances of signing Valencia sensation David Otorbi in January are looking slim, but the summer is a different matter ⬇️ @FrazFletcher✍️ | #NUFC https://t.co/TThBSXCUMs

claims RumouredView on X ↗

Why 10%

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+10
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−1
2 further reportseach worth under half a point
Completion probability
10%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457523 Oct: −3 points, with no post on this move: news on a rival destination19 Oct23 Oct5 Nov
419 recomputations▼ 10 points over the trail
  1. −313d agonews on a rival destination