TransferHype
Winter 2027

Felix Nmecha

MF

Borussia Dortmund → Manchester United · Winter 2027

Will Felix Nmecha join Manchester United? Unlikely for now: 11%, still a rumour, on 2 posts since 19 Oct.

11%
Unlikely
first reported 17d agolast moved 3d ago
  1. Rumoured
    19 Oct
  2. Talks
    —
  3. Agreement
    —
  4. Medical
    —
  5. Done
    —

Contested — 2 clubs

Each figure is what one club's own reports support, reduced because he can only sign for one of them. They add up to the chance he moves at all, not to 100.

What was actually said

2 posts in 1 claim, grouped by stage and direction.

Mentioned, no claim either way

Neutral2 reports, led by @TEAMtalk@TEAMtalk had it first, 17d ago

🚨🆕 Manchester United are interested in FOUR Borussia Dortmund stars: Serhou Guirassy, Daniel Svensson, Felix Nmecha and Jobe Bellingham Their scouts were in attendance to watch the quartet against Bayern Munich on Saturday ⤵️ @GraemeBailey | #MUFC https://t.co/sOmmDwDMbI

claims RumouredView on X ↗
1 other post on the same claim
  • @TEAMtalk17d ago ↗

    Manchester United and Liverpool are big admirers of Borussia Dortmund star Felix Nmecha 🔥 Dortmund won't let the Germany midfielder go easily, however... ⤵️ @FrazFletcher | #MUFC #LFC https://t.co/TJWEItDHv1

Why 11%

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+12
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−1
2 further reportseach worth under half a point
Completion probability
11%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457526 Oct: +5 points, with no post on this move: news on a rival destination19 Oct29 Oct5 Nov
413 recomputations▲ 4 points over the trail
  1. +510d agonews on a rival destination