Borussia Dortmund → Liverpool · Winter 2027

Will Felix Nmecha join Liverpool? Unlikely for now: 8%, still a rumour, on 2 posts since 19 Oct.

8%
Unlikely
first reported 17d agolast moved 10d ago
  1. Rumoured
    19 Oct
  2. Talks
    —
  3. Agreement
    —
  4. Medical
    —
  5. Done
    —

Contested — 2 clubs

Each figure is what one club's own reports support, reduced because he can only sign for one of them. They add up to the chance he moves at all, not to 100.

What was actually said

2 posts in 2 claims, grouped by stage and direction.

Said to be cooling

Coolingone report

🚨🆕 Lamine Camara (Monaco) and Alex Scott (Bournemouth) are two players on Liverpool’s shortlist for the central midfield position. Liverpool also hold Felix Nmecha of Borussia Dortmund in high regard. However, he is currently NOT a priority target. #LFC @SkySportDE 🇸🇳🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 https://t.co/RNZdKabN60

claims Rumoured−1 pointView on X ↗

Mentioned, no claim either way

Neutralone report

Manchester United and Liverpool are big admirers of Borussia Dortmund star Felix Nmecha 🔥 Dortmund won't let the Germany midfielder go easily, however... ⤵️ @FrazFletcher | #MUFC #LFC https://t.co/TJWEItDHv1

claims RumouredView on X ↗

Why 8%

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+11
Florian Plettenberg coolingBroke ittrust 0.86, 76% faded
−1
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−1
1 further reporteach worth under half a point
Completion probability
8%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457519 Oct27 Oct5 Nov
413 recomputations▲ 2 points over the trail