TransferHype
Winter 2027

Alex Scott

MF

Bournemouth → Manchester City · Winter 2027

Will Alex Scott join Manchester City? Unlikely for now: 8%, still a rumour, on 1 post since 22 Oct.

8%
Unlikely
first reported 15d agolast moved 15d ago
  1. Rumoured
    22 Oct
  2. Talks
    —
  3. Agreement
    —
  4. Medical
    —
  5. Done
    —

Contested — 4 clubs

Each figure is what one club's own reports support, reduced because he can only sign for one of them. They add up to the chance he moves at all, not to 100.

What was actually said

1 post in 1 claim, grouped by stage and direction.

Mentioned, no claim either way

Neutralone report

🚨 In an exclusive with @alex_crook, Bournemouth owner Bill Foley says the club “haven't given up” on Alex Scott signing a new deal. He adds, “Sometimes players get stars in their eyes, and they think that #CFC or #MCFC is the right place to go.” https://t.co/xti6hKTkzR

claims RumouredView on X ↗

Why 8%

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+10
Turned down a new contractreported by @TEAMtalk — about the player, not this move
+5
In talks over a new contractreported by @TEAMtalk — about the player, not this move
−1
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−6
5 further reportseach worth under half a point
Completion probability
8%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457522 Oct: +3 points, with no new post: we re-read the reporting27 Oct: −5 points, with no post on this move: news on a rival destination22 Oct27 Oct5 Nov
347 recomputations▼ 2 points over the trail
  1. −59d agonews on a rival destination
  2. +314d agono new post: we re-read the reporting