Galatasaray → Arsenal · Permanent · Winter 2027

Will Aleksey Batrakov join Arsenal? Unlikely for now: 9%, still a rumour, on 3 posts since 23 Oct.

9%
Unlikely
first reported 14d agolast moved 2d ago
  1. Rumoured
    23 Oct
  2. Talks
    —
  3. Agreement
    —
  4. Medical
    —
  5. Done
    —

Contested — 5 clubs

Each figure is what one club's own reports support, reduced because he can only sign for one of them. They add up to the chance he moves at all, not to 100.

What was actually said

3 posts in 1 claim, grouped by stage and direction.

Mentioned, no claim either way

Neutral3 reports, led by @TEAMtalk@TEAMtalk had it first, 14d ago

Man Utd scouts were in attendance to watch Galatasaray sensation Aleksey Batrakov score a brace on Wednesday 👀🔥 Arsenal and Chelsea are among the other clubs interested in the 21-year-old attacking midfielder ⤵️ @GraemeBailey | #MUFC https://t.co/2wB0GOAxr9

claims RumouredView on X ↗
2 other posts on the same claim
  • @TEAMtalk7d ago ↗

    Liverpool and Arsenal have been joined in the race for Aleksey Batrakov by Barcelona 👀 The Galatasaray playmaker has a £50m release clause in his contract, and interest in him is growing rapidly ⤵️ @FrazFletcher | #LFC #AFC https://t.co/UZccaMq7Gb

  • @TEAMtalk14d ago ↗

    Arsenal and Liverpool are leading a five-club Prem race to sign top Galatasaray attacking talent Aleksey Batrakov 🔥 @GraemeBailey✍️ | #Arsenal #LFC https://t.co/vlx5SEMqqL

Why 9%

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+12
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−3
3 further reportseach worth under half a point
Completion probability
9%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457529 Oct: +4 points, after @TEAMtalk23 Oct29 Oct5 Nov
323 recomputations▲ 2 points over the trail
  1. +47d ago@TEAMtalk: Arsenal interested in Galatasaray playmaker Aleksey Batrakov, who has a £50m release clause