Galatasaray → Barcelona · Permanent · Winter 2027

Will Aleksey Batrakov join Barcelona? Unlikely for now: 9%, still a rumour, on 1 post since 29 Oct.

9%
Unlikely
first reported 7d agolast moved 7d ago
  1. Rumoured
    29 Oct
  2. Talks
    —
  3. Agreement
    —
  4. Medical
    —
  5. Done
    —

Contested — 5 clubs

Each figure is what one club's own reports support, reduced because he can only sign for one of them. They add up to the chance he moves at all, not to 100.

What was actually said

1 post in 1 claim, grouped by stage and direction.

Mentioned, no claim either way

Neutralone report

Liverpool and Arsenal have been joined in the race for Aleksey Batrakov by Barcelona 👀 The Galatasaray playmaker has a £50m release clause in his contract, and interest in him is growing rapidly ⤵️ @FrazFletcher | #LFC #AFC https://t.co/UZccaMq7Gb

claims Rumoured+1 pointView on X ↗

Why 9%

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+11
TEAMtalk neutralBroke ittrust 0.52, 64% faded
+1
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−3
Completion probability
9%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457529 Oct30 Oct5 Nov
173 recomputations▼ 2 points over the trail