Brighton → Chelsea · Winter 2027

Will Luka Vušković join Chelsea? Unlikely for now: 9%, still a rumour, on 1 post since 23 Oct.

9%
Unlikely
first reported 14d agolast moved 14d ago
  1. Rumoured
    23 Oct
  2. Talks
    —
  3. Agreement
    —
  4. Medical
    —
  5. Done
    —

Contested — 3 clubs

Each figure is what one club's own reports support, reduced because he can only sign for one of them. They add up to the chance he moves at all, not to 100.

What was actually said

1 post in 1 claim, grouped by stage and direction.

Mentioned, no claim either way

Neutralone report

❗️ Chelsea, Barcelona and Bayern Munich all want to sign a player Tottenham might already regret selling - Luka Vuskovic Full details via @FrazFletcher ⤵️ https://t.co/7Bvj9iOf5k

claims RumouredView on X ↗

Why 9%

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+11
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−2
1 further reporteach worth under half a point
Completion probability
9%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457526 Oct: +4 points, with no post on this move: news on a rival destination23 Oct26 Oct5 Nov
323 recomputations▲ 2 points over the trail
  1. +410d agonews on a rival destination