Borussia Mönchengladbach → Bayern Munich · Summer 2027

Will Wael Mohya join Bayern Munich? Unlikely for now: 11%, still a rumour, on 2 posts since 26 Oct.

11%
Unlikely
first reported 10d agolast moved 14h ago
  1. Rumoured
    26 Oct
  2. Talks
    —
  3. Agreement
    —
  4. Medical
    —
  5. Done
    —

What was actually said

2 posts in 1 claim, grouped by stage and direction.

Mentioned, no claim either way

Neutral2 reports, led by @Plettigoal@Plettigoal had it first, 10d ago

🚨🇩🇪 BREAKING | Jürgen Klopp has nominated 17 y/o gem Wael Mohya from Borussia Mönchengladbach. As exclusively reported: Mohya is also on FC Bayern’s shortlist. https://t.co/vysjtOCaVL

claims Rumoured+1 pointView on X ↗
1 other post on the same claim
  • @Plettigoal10d ago ↗

    🚨🔴 EXCL | FC Bayern have Wael Mohya on their list and are monitoring the 17 y/o gem very closely. Interest has also been registered on the player’s side. Nothing concrete yet. Borussia M’gladbach want to extend as soon as possible - beyond 2028, including a release clause. https://t.co/Nchgh6iq4I

Why 11%

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+12
Florian Plettenberg neutraltrust 0.86, repeating (2nd to say it, 50%)
+1
In talks over a new contractreported by @Plettigoal — about the player, not this move
−2
In talks over a new contractreported by @Plettigoal — about the player, not this move
−1
1 further reporteach worth under half a point
Completion probability
11%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457526 Oct29 Oct5 Nov
245 recomputations▲ 2 points over the trail