Arsenal → Liverpool · Winter 2027
Will Kai Havertz join Liverpool? Probable for now: 50%, at the talks stage, on 1 post since 5 Nov. @Plettigoal has reported it done; the stage moves when a second source agrees.
50%
Probable
first reported 12h agolast moved 12h ago
- Rumoured5 Nov
- Talks5 Nov
- Agreement—
- Medical—
- Done—
What was actually said
1 post in 1 claim, grouped by stage and direction.
Reported as done
Advancingone reportWhy 50%
Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+30
Florian Plettenberg advancingBroke ittrust 0.86
+21
Completion probability
50%
Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.