AC Milan → Galatasaray S.K. · Permanent · Summer 2026
- Rumoured26 Jul
- Talks26 Jul
- Agreement27 Aug
- Medical29 Aug
- Done28 Aug
Catch me up
- 26 Julfirst@DiMarzio: itGalatasaray offers loan with right of redemption for Leao; Milan wants permanent sale
- 4 AugJoined by @MatteMoretto
- 6 AugCooling@DiMarzio: itAC Milan rejected a Galatasaray offer of around €30m plus €5m in bonuses for Leao
- 10 AugJoined by @JacobsBen
- 15 AugJoined by @FabrizioRomano
- 27 AugAdvancing@David_Ornstein: AC Milan accept €45m bid from Galatasaray; Leao offered €10-12m net salary and deciding on move
- 27 AugJoined by @David_Ornstein
- 27 AugReached Agreement
- 28 AugJoined by @Plettigoal
- 28 AugReached Done
- 29 AugReached Medical
What was actually said
21 posts in 7 claims, grouped by stage and direction.
Reported as being in talks
Advancing3 reports, led by @David_Ornstein@MatteMoretto had it first, 2mo ago2 other posts, 2 other sources on the same claim
- @FabrizioRomano22d ago ↗
🚨🟡🔴 Galatasaray are closing in on Rafa Leão deal after getting initial green light from the player to proceed with the move. Aston Villa in contact over last 12 hours again but Gala are set to move forward and close the agreement with Leão. €45m plus add-ons to AC Milan. https://t.co/sb2QOZxxXr
- @MatteMoretto2mo ago ↗
itGalatasaray intensifying efforts to sign Rafael Leão
Il Galatasaray alza il pressing per Rafael Leão. Le ultime su Youtube: https://t.co/jjFHiFa7gs https://t.co/6TWyO2VgI6
Reported as done
Advancing7 reports, led by @DiMarzioitRafael Leao to Galatasaray SK, €40m fixed fee plus bonuses to AC Milan
6 other posts, 3 other sources on the same claim
- @MatteMoretto22d ago ↗no effect
Rafael Leão in chiusura definitiva al Galatasaray. https://t.co/7TzBXLNkpi
- @Plettigoal22d ago ↗no effect
🚨💥 BREAKING | Rafael Leao to Galatasaray - DONE DEAL ✔️ Full agreement reached with AC Milan. Leao and Galatasaray have also agreed on personal terms, with Leao saying YES to the move as revealed. 100 % agreement between Leao/Gala. €45m total package with €43m guaranteed https://t.co/AAIGfDhhXn
- @MatteMoretto22d ago ↗no effect
itLeão to Galatasaray completed for €45m plus bonuses, €12m net per season
È fatta per Leão al Galatasaray. Operazione chiusa con il Milan sulla base di 45 milioni di euro più bonus. Al portoghese 12 milioni di euro netti a stagione. https://t.co/wFi0nFJVKj
- @JacobsBen22d ago ↗
Rafa Leão arrives in Istanbul this afternoon to formalise his move to Galatasaray.✈️ https://t.co/zU0XRAhtpq
- @DiMarzio22d ago ↗
itRafa Leao will sign a contract with Galatasaray until 2030 at €10m net per year plus bonuses
Rafa Leao firmerà con il @GalatasaraySK un contratto fino al 2030, stipendio da 10 milioni netti l'anno più bonus @SkySport https://t.co/J0ePJyxq5A
- @DiMarzio22d ago ↗
itLeao to Galatasaray for €45m total (€43m fixed + €2m bonus) plus 20% sell-on clause
Leao al @GalatasaraySK, le cifre: pacchetto totale da 45 milioni all'@acmilan, 43 fisso + 2 bonus, più il 20% sulla rivendita. 🤝🏻 @skysport https://t.co/EFNUCoN3Rh
Reported as agreed
Advancing4 reports, led by @Plettigoal@FabrizioRomano had it first, 23d ago3 other posts, 3 other sources on the same claim
- @JacobsBen22d ago ↗no effect
🚨 Galatasaray closing in on Rafael Leão despite a push from Aston Villa in the last 24 hours. Galatasaray have an agreement in place with Milan worth around €50m. Villa talks with Milan have not yet resulted in a breakthrough despite optimism yesterday Leão was open to the https://t.co/cNF329hl9O
- @FabrizioRomano23d ago ↗
🚨🇵🇹 Galatasaray are waiting for Rafa Leão decision after €45m plus add-ons deal agreed yesterday with AC Milan. Unai Emery, pushing to bring him to Aston Villa after a direct contact taking place today with #AVFC manager. Key hours ahead. https://t.co/uhSGSuazMX
- @DiMarzio22d ago ↗
itLeao has agreed to Galatasaray, deal closing with AC Milan
Leao ha dato l'ok al @GalatasaraySK che è ora in chiusura @acmilan @Plettigoal @SkySport
Reported at medical stage
Advancing2 reports, led by @FabrizioRomano@Plettigoal had it first, 22d ago1 other post, 1 other source on the same claim
- @Plettigoal22d ago ↗
🚨🛫 Today is Rafael Leão day at Galatasaray. As revealed yesterday, Leão will fly to Istanbul today. Four-year contract until 2030. €45m total package: €43m guaranteed + €2m in bonuses. 20% sell-on clause. Salary: €10m net per year + bonuses. A move to Aston Villa was https://t.co/KcLqWJJmdM
Mentioned, no claim either way
Neutralone reportMentioned, no claim either way
Neutral2 reports, led by @MatteMoretto@DiMarzio had it first, 2mo agoitGalatasaray pursuing Rafael Leão as priority; Milan insists on permanent sale only at €50-60m, rejecting loan with obligation
Said to be cooling
Cooling2 reports, led by @JacobsBen@DiMarzio had it first, 2mo agoWhy it read 69% before it settled
Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.
Probability over time
- +3322d ago@Plettigoal: Agreement between Rafael Leão and Galatasaray is in place, though Galatasaray's confidence depends on Aston Villa not increasing their offer · @DiMarzio: Leao has agreed to Galatasaray, deal closing with AC Milan · @FabrizioRomano: Galatasaray closing in on Rafa Leão deal with player's green light; €45m plus add-ons to AC Milan · @DiMarzio: Rafael Leao to Galatasaray SK, €40m fixed fee plus bonuses to AC Milan · @MatteMoretto: Rafael Leão in definitive closure to Galatasaray · @DiMarzio: Leao to Galatasaray for €45m total (€43m fixed + €2m bonus) plus 20% sell-on clause · @JacobsBen: Galatasaray have an agreement in place with Milan worth around €50m for Rafael Leão · @Plettigoal: Rafael Leao to Galatasaray done deal, €45m total package with €43m guaranteed · @MatteMoretto: Leão to Galatasaray completed for €45m plus bonuses, €12m net per season · @DiMarzio: Rafa Leao will sign a contract with Galatasaray until 2030 at €10m net per year plus bonuses