Manchester City → Leeds United · Permanent · Summer 2026

✓ Confirmedhe is in the squad at his new club · 3mo ago
69%
final reading before it was settled
first reported 4mo agolast moved 3mo ago
  1. Rumoured
    15 Jul
  2. Talks
    15 Jul
  3. Agreement
    27 Jul
  4. Medical
    6 Aug
  5. Done
    6 Aug

Catch me up

  1. 15 Julfirst@TEAMtalk: Leeds United pursuing James Trafford raid, described as difficult but not impossible
  2. 23 JulJoined by @JacobsBen, @David_Ornstein, @FabrizioRomano
  3. 27 JulReached Agreement
  4. 27 JulJoined by @Plettigoal
  5. 6 AugReached Medical
  6. 6 AugReached Done

What was actually said

26 posts in 6 claims, grouped by stage and direction.

Reported as done

Advancing2 reports, led by @FabrizioRomano@JacobsBen had it first, 3mo ago

🚨🟡🔵 Leeds United confirm they sign James Trafford on £45m package deal from Man City. City will receive 20% of any future profit and mantain matching rights. Record signings for #LUFC. https://t.co/XlCSDeydiM

claims DoneView on X ↗
1 other post, 1 other source on the same claim
  • @JacobsBen3mo ago ↗

    Leeds United confirm James Trafford has joined from Manchester City for a club-record £40m plus add-ons. Trafford has signed a five-year contract and becomes Leeds' third permanent signing after Harry Wilson and Tarik Muharemović. Trafford is now the most expensive British https://t.co/nosFUdJEAu

Reported at medical stage

Advancing3 reports, led by @FabrizioRomano

🚨🟡🔵 Leeds United have completed formal steps of their club record deal for James Trafford. Medical tests done and documents being exchanged with Manchester City today. https://t.co/4my0T33qKO

claims MedicalView on X ↗
2 other posts, 1 other source on the same claim
  • @FabrizioRomano3mo ago ↗

    🚨🇦🇷 Exclusive story on Geronimo Rulli to Man City now closer to completion as talks are moving forward with OM. James Trafford will join Leeds United with medical done today and Lucas Perri also expected to join Torino. 🔄🧤 https://t.co/kwXqxbUkJl

  • @JacobsBen3mo ago ↗

    James Trafford has passed his Leeds medical.🩺 https://t.co/YQqDCl0huN

Reported as agreed

Advancing5 reports, led by @David_Ornstein@TEAMtalk had it first, 3mo ago

🚨 Leeds United on verge of completing agreement with Manchester City to sign James Trafford. Deal for #MCFC goalkeeper worth £40m guaranteed fee plus bonuses - 23yo England international’s transfer to #LUFC now in process of being finalised @TheAthleticFC https://t.co/6WVakNKlol

claims AgreementView on X ↗
4 other posts, 3 other sources on the same claim
  • @FabrizioRomano3mo ago ↗

    🚨🟡🔵 Leeds United reach verbal agreement with Man City for club record deal to sign James Trafford, here we go! Club to club deal in place for £40m plus add-ons, long term deal offered to Trafford. Signatures expected this week - follows @David_Ornstein @GrahamSmyth. https://t.co/cd9LlgVkCS

  • @Plettigoal3mo ago ↗

    🚨💥 James Trafford to Leeds United - DONE DEAL ✔️ Full agreement with Manchester City, following the verbal agreement between Leeds/Trafford days ago. Medical expected this week. Transfer fee: £40 million guaranteed, plus bonuses after @TheAthletic. As revealed at the end of https://t.co/c1VSNVTZ49

  • @TEAMtalk3mo ago ↗

    ⚪️🟡🔵 James Trafford 𝘭𝘢𝘵𝘦𝘴𝘵 🔹 Transfer to Leeds remains on track as clubs look to resolve last details 🔹 Whites commit to whopping near-£80m deal 🔹 Pundits question 49ers' sanity amid claims they're 'wasting millions' https://t.co/LsMwZ48jsE #LUFC #MCFC

  • @TEAMtalk3mo ago ↗

    🔥 Leeds are about to complete a deal with Man City for James Trafford, sources tell TEAMtalk @FrazFletcher | #LUFC #MCFC https://t.co/qEvd1BfE8e

Reported as being in talks

Advancing12 reports, led by @David_Ornstein@TEAMtalk had it first, 4mo ago

🚨 Leeds United in talks with Manchester City to sign James Trafford. Newcastle United also interested & #NUFC made club-to-club contact, but 23yo #MCFC goalkeeper leaning towards Elland Road + #LUFC now working to land England international @TheAthleticFC https://t.co/UFx5Em5Xh8

claims TalksView on X ↗
11 other posts, 3 other sources on the same claim
  • @FabrizioRomano4mo ago ↗

    🚨🟡🔵 Leeds United are advancing in talks to sign James Trafford as Newcastle were never involved in race this summer. Trafford was offered as option in June but #NUFC look at different candidates and Leeds are leading the race for Man City’s GK. https://t.co/0SDVyL4CyR

  • @FabrizioRomano3mo ago ↗

    🚨🧤 Torino are closing in on Lucas Perri deal with Leeds United as new goalkeeper. Final details being sorted then #LUFC will proceed for James Trafford as new GK with player keen on the move. https://t.co/o4j5CojoMY

  • @JacobsBen4mo ago ↗

    Exclusive: Leeds United closing in on deal for James Trafford. Player has indicated he wants to join. Can also reveal the parties are discussing a release clause within fast-moving negotiations. Newcastle United have not held any recent talks or placed a bid. Last conversations https://t.co/1qCRSbMlXM

  • @JacobsBen4mo ago ↗

    Leeds optimistic on James Trafford despite #NUFC's long-standing interest.⬇️ https://t.co/KAY4FrWJH6

  • @JacobsBen4mo ago ↗

    Leeds United have held talks with James Trafford, who Newcastle have also looked at this window. Trafford one of Leeds’ leading targets. An offer has also been made to Julian Brandt. Understand those close to Brandt visited Leeds’ training ground last week.⚪️ 🤝 @alex_crook https://t.co/Kzd5p7V1Ph

  • @TEAMtalk3mo ago ↗

    🧤⚪️ James Trafford 𝘭𝘢𝘵𝘦𝘴𝘵 🔹 Leeds remain confident of reaching full agreement, with talks ongoing 🔹 Star has decided he only wants to join Whites with Newcastle now eyeing Czech star 🔹 Details emerge on record-shattering final fee https://t.co/rMTyWPpw4y #LUFC #MCFC

  • @TEAMtalk4mo ago ↗

    ⚪️🟡🔵 James Trafford 𝙡𝙖𝙩𝙚𝙨𝙩 🧤 Sources uncover truths around keeper's 'European release clause' demands 🧤 Leeds optimistic of concluding negotiations in next 24 hours 🧤 23 y/o clear that Whites are his preference @FrazFletcher | #LUFC #MCFC https://t.co/dph1njGbIR

  • @TEAMtalk4mo ago ↗

    James Trafford to Leeds is thundering towards a rapid conclusion 👀 @FrazFletcher https://t.co/KM9ZeG0Sdy

  • @TEAMtalk4mo ago ↗

    ⚪️🟡🔵 James Trafford 𝙚𝙭𝙘𝙡𝙪𝙨𝙞𝙫𝙚 𝙪𝙥𝙙𝙖𝙩𝙚 Man City star signals wish to join Leeds United after sources reveal personal terms have now been agreed. Optimism is building that a full agreement can soon be reached. @FrazFletcher | #LUFC #MCFC https://t.co/VXcMZ1AYJg

  • @TEAMtalk4mo ago ↗

    ⚪️🟡🔵 Leeds United's chances of signing James Trafford talked up by FOUR sources, as Whites hold talks over a potential club-record deal and Newcastle get cold feet @marshyleeds | #LUFC #MCFC #NUFC https://t.co/SCv1DEtJ6n

  • @TEAMtalk4mo ago ↗

    ⚪️🟡🔵 Leeds United well positioned and ready to shatter their transfer record to sign James Trafford as insider names the wantaway Man City keeper as their 'dream signing' https://t.co/GNuB22Kucb #LUFC #transfers

Mentioned, no claim either way

Neutralone report

Man City are closing in on a deal to re-sign Geronimo Rulli from Marseille, who will replace Leeds-bound James Trafford 🤝 @FrazFletcher | #MCFC https://t.co/96iOWdNzm5

claims RumouredView on X ↗

Mentioned, no claim either way

Neutral3 reports, led by @TEAMtalk@TEAMtalk had it first, 4mo ago

🧤Aston Villa 𝗘𝗫𝗖𝗟𝗨𝗦𝗜𝗩𝗘 A massive U-turn on Emi Martinez has put Leeds United firmly in the frame for the signing of James Trafford, with the Whites very much in the conversation to sign the Man City star... @FrazFletcher | #AVFC #LUFC https://t.co/YW4673M7e5

claims TalksView on X ↗
2 other posts on the same claim
  • @TEAMtalk4mo ago ↗

    🧤🇦🇷 Aston Villa 𝗘𝗫𝗖𝗟𝗨𝗦𝗜𝗩𝗘 A massive U-turn on Emi Martinez has put Leeds United firmly in the frame for the signing of James Trafford, with the Whites very much in the conversation to sign the Man City star... @FrazFletcher | #AVFC #LUFC https://t.co/YW4673M7e5

  • @TEAMtalk4mo ago ↗

    ⚪️🟡🔵 Leeds United hope to follow up enormous Tarik Muharemovic deal by landing £25m midfielder and with James Trafford raid also seen as difficult but not impossible https://t.co/SfiL7YjRVG #LUFC #transfers

Why it read 69% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+88
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−20
7 further reportseach worth under half a point
Completion probability
69%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

Not enough history yet. The line appears after a few recalculations.