Aston Villa F.C.Chelsea F.C. · Permanent · Summer 2026

Confirmedhe is in the squad at his new club · 2mo ago
62%
final reading before it was settled
first reported 2mo agolast moved 2mo ago
  1. Rumoured
    18 Jul
  2. Talks
    18 Jul
  3. Agreement
    18 Jul
  4. Medical
    18 Jul
  5. Done
    18 Jul

Catch me up

  1. 18 Julfirst@David_Ornstein: Chelsea reach verbal agreement with Aston Villa to sign Morgan Rogers for £117m on 6+1 year contract, medical scheduled Monday
  2. 18 JulJoined by @JacobsBen, @FabrizioRomano, @MirrorFootball, @TEAMtalk
  3. 18 JulReached Done

What was actually said

25 posts in 5 claims, grouped by stage and direction.

Reported as done

Advancing11 reports, led by @FabrizioRomano
10 other posts, 4 other sources on the same claim
  • @FabrizioRomano2mo agono effect

    🚨🔵 Morgan Rogers has signed his six year contract as new Chelsea player! £117m move from Aston Villa, completed. The agreement includes an option to extend the contract until June 2033. #CFC pay £117m fixed fee without any add-ons to Villa. https://t.co/VLFUdyx1Hl

  • @David_Ornstein2mo agono effect

    🚨 Morgan Rogers has signed contract to join Chelsea from Aston Villa for £117m. 23yo attacker puts pen to paper on 6+1yr deal & links up with #CFC squad after pre-season tour to Australia / Asia. Highest value deal of transfer window so far @TheAthleticFC https://t.co/zkEOsXmTTK

  • @FabrizioRomano2mo agono effect

    🚨🔵 OFFICIAL: Morgan Rogers joins Chelsea on £117m deal from Aston Villa, confirmed. Contract until June 2032 plus option for further year. https://t.co/w74U7jmTFe

  • @JacobsBen2mo ago

    🚨 BREAKING: Chelsea confirm Morgan Rogers has joined from Aston Villa for £117m. No add-ons. A club-record fee. 6+1 contract Deal done within 48 hours after talks between Behdad Eghbali and Nassef Sawiris. Eghbali, the sporting directors and Xabi Alonso heavily involved. https://t.co/ANIkBcst73

  • @TEAMtalk2mo ago

    ✍️✅ Morgan Rogers lists FIVE reasons for joining Chelsea after finalising British record £117m move. Meanwhile, Fabrizio Romano has revealed exactly why Unai Emery wants to bring Alejandro Garnacho to Aston Villa in return https://t.co/07aCOc7QlD #CFC #AVFC

  • @TEAMtalk2mo ago

    ❗️ Morgan Rogers has signed for Chelsea in a £117m deal, and Fabrizio Romano has revealed whether Arsenal will now hijack the next big-money Blues move after losing out for Rogers ⤵️ https://t.co/bc6vCjWtlK

  • @MirrorFootball2mo ago

    📸 It's who was NOT in the photos of Morgan Rogers' arrival, that shows things look different at Chelsea under Xabi Alonso | @andydunnmirror https://t.co/BWypfyID0t https://t.co/ULqqRfobdB

  • @MirrorFootball2mo ago

    Morgan Rogers fires dig at Arsenal moments after completing Chelsea transfer 👀 https://t.co/EhqFl1Yk2M https://t.co/5w8baDOk4y

  • @MirrorFootball2mo ago

    BREAKING: Morgan Rogers completes record-breaking £117m transfer to Chelsea https://t.co/Y7AJM5iFZC https://t.co/IOkHoW6lkb

  • @MirrorFootball2mo ago

    Morgan Rogers' three reasons for choosing £117m Chelsea transfer as Arsenal snubbed https://t.co/XFrigqGcRA https://t.co/yTYuz3Klpe

Reported as being in talks

Advancing3 reports, led by @FabrizioRomano@TEAMtalk had it first, 2mo ago
JournalistTier 1weighted 0.75counted at 60%claims TalksView on X ↗
2 other posts, 2 other sources on the same claim
  • @JacobsBen2mo ago

    Morgan Rogers confirms Cole Palmer non-stop called him to join Chelsea.📞 "I’ve known Cole since I was about 14, first in the England [youth] teams and then when we were both at Man City together. We’ve been speaking about this for a while; we always would love to have played https://t.co/xTA0omqkOC

  • @TEAMtalk2mo ago

    🔵 🔴 Morgan Rogers picks Chelsea over Arsenal because of Joe Shields influence, sources tell TEAMtalk @GraemeBailey | #CFC #AFC #AVFC https://t.co/iIJYBa0c7R

Reported as agreed

Advancing5 reports, led by @FabrizioRomano@JacobsBen had it first, 2mo ago
JournalistTier 1weighted 0.75counted at 36%claims AgreementView on X ↗
4 other posts, 3 other sources on the same claim
  • @JacobsBen2mo ago

    Understand Chelsea pitched to Morgan Rogers as a left-wing starter. Rogers equally comfortable and impressive as a number ten, and his versatility part of the appeal to Chelsea, but told he is joining under the impression he'll play on the left, and alongside Cole Palmer. Along https://t.co/NFjsVQWmT4

  • @JacobsBen2mo ago

    🚨 BREAKING: Chelsea set to sign Morgan Rogers after reaching an agreement with Aston Villa worth £117m. 6+1 contract as @David_Ornstein called. Arsenal were also in talks, but Rogers has picked Chelsea. https://t.co/nPcvEw98pM

  • @TEAMtalk2mo ago

    🔵 Stan Collymore reacts to Chelsea agreeing a deal with Aston Villa for Morgan Rogers #cfc #avfc https://t.co/fZPCNfDDEp

  • @MirrorFootball2mo ago

    🚨BREAKING: Chelsea have agreed a blockbuster £117million deal to sign Morgan Rogers from Aston Villa 🆕 https://t.co/kn8XJLeKRU https://t.co/RW5l6KkiCs

Reported at medical stage

Advancing5 reports, led by @David_Ornstein
JournalistTier 1weighted 0.75counted at 22%claims MedicalView on X ↗
4 other posts, 1 other source on the same claim
  • @JacobsBen2mo ago

    Morgan Rogers has passed his Chelsea medical.🩺 https://t.co/PDlwlcP56K

  • @JacobsBen2mo ago

    Morgan Rogers has passed his Chelsea medical.🩺

  • @JacobsBen2mo ago

    Morgan Rogers currently undergoing his Chelsea medical ahead of signing a 6+1 contract.🩺 https://t.co/4lL4uA0sOY

  • @JacobsBen2mo ago

    More on Morgan Rogers' move to Chelsea. Medical scheduled for Monday. Chelsea moved quickly to strike a deal with Aston Villa anticipating a bid from Arsenal. £117m fee, £1m more than Elliot Anderson's move to Manchester City. Rogers made it clear he wanted Chelsea after https://t.co/KEoDK54VMW

Mentioned, no claim either way

Neutralone report
JournalistTier 2seeded, not yet measuredclaims TalksView on X ↗

Why it read 62% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+99
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−37
7 further reportseach worth under half a point
Completion probability
62%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

Not enough history yet. The line appears after a few recalculations.