ArsenalBarcelona · Permanent · Summer 2026

Confirmedreported done by several independent sources · 19d ago
75%
final reading before it was settled
first reported 19d agolast moved 17d ago
  1. Rumoured
    30 Aug
  2. Talks
    30 Aug
  3. Agreement
    30 Aug
  4. Medical
    30 Aug
  5. Done
    30 Aug

Catch me up

  1. 30 Augfirst@FabrizioRomano: Barcelona in advanced talks with Arsenal to sign Gabriel Jesus, deal close to completion
  2. 30 AugReached Agreement
  3. 30 AugReached Medical
  4. 30 AugJoined by @MatteMoretto, @JacobsBen, @TEAMtalk, @MirrorFootball, @Plettigoal
  5. 30 AugReached Done

What was actually said

15 posts in 4 claims, grouped by stage and direction.

Reported at medical stage

Advancing3 reports, led by @FabrizioRomano
2 other posts, 1 other source on the same claim
  • @Plettigoal19d agono effect

    🚨💥 Gabriel Jesus to FC Barcelona - DONE DEAL ✔️ Full agreement with Arsenal reached. Fee, according to my info: €15m including bonuses. Green light for medical. Contract until 2028 + 1. A new surprising addition for Hansi Flick, following @mundodeportivo today. @SkySportDE https://t.co/LZDPVRz6bX

  • @FabrizioRomano19d ago

    🚨🔵🔴 Barcelona and Arsenal have now exchanged documents for Gabriel Jesus deal. €10m fixed fee, €4m add-ons and 20% sell-on clause. Gabriel will land in Barcelona tomorrow for medical tests and contract signing. Contract until June 2028 plus option to extend. https://t.co/DXllprk8FA

Reported as being in talks

Advancingone report
JournalistTier 1weighted 0.85counted at 60%claims TalksView on X ↗

Reported as done

Advancing8 reports, led by @MatteMoretto

esGabriel Jesus to Barça closed for around €15 million for 80% of the player

JournalistTier 1weighted 0.77counted at 36%claims DoneView on X ↗
7 other posts, 3 other sources on the same claim
  • @FabrizioRomano19d agono effect

    🔵🔴🇧🇷 Gabriel Jesus will sign a two year contract at Barcelona. The agreement also includes an option to extend for extra year, until 2029. Gabriel immediately said yes to Barcelona, seen by the Brazilian as a dream opportunity. Arsenal authorized his travel on Monday. https://t.co/7sq4RkDZN1

  • @FabrizioRomano19d agono effect

    🔵🔴🇧🇷 Gabriel Jesus and Barcelona, deal until June 2028 plus option and package over €10m to Arsenal. The surprise of the day. 📞 https://t.co/iI7BPketGV

  • @TEAMtalk19d agono effect

    🔴Gabriel Jesus is leaving Arsenal for Barcelona #AFC #FCBarcelona https://t.co/GDv76wgKVJ

  • @FabrizioRomano17d ago

    🔵🔴🤙🏽 Official, confirmed. Gabriel Jesus joins Barcelona from Arsenal. 🇧🇷 €14m package plus 20% sell-on clause. https://t.co/VFea4R96PQ

  • @MatteMoretto18d ago

    esGabriel Jesús has arrived at Barcelona

    Gabriel Jesús ya está en Barcelona. https://t.co/cZ6LUJ5Sao

  • @FabrizioRomano18d ago

    🔵🔴📞 “My knee? It’s perfect”. Gabriel Jesus has landed in Barcelona to complete €10m plus €4m and 20% sell-on move from Arsenal. 🎥 @victor_nahe https://t.co/7RaOhGStVB

  • @JacobsBen17d ago

    Barcelona confirm Gabriel Jesus has joined from Arsenal on a three-year contract. €10m fee.🇧🇷 https://t.co/6oPc41K6ii

Reported as agreed

Advancing3 reports, led by @MatteMoretto

esGabriel Jesús has agreed to join Barcelona; agreement between clubs is in place

JournalistTier 1weighted 0.77counted at 22%claims AgreementView on X ↗
2 other posts, 2 other sources on the same claim
  • @JacobsBen19d agono effect

    🚨 Barcelona set to sign Arsenal striker Gabriel Jesus, as @ffpolo called for a fee in the region of €10m. Clubs currently finalising an agreement, while Jesus has already agreed terms on an initial two-year contract. https://t.co/UnJQAYHNKx

  • @MirrorFootball19d agono effect

    Arsenal strike Gabriel Jesus transfer agreement with Barcelona as fee revealed https://t.co/NxvJZW6GIM https://t.co/e4pS9vA8Yj

Why it read 75% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+98
FabrizioRomano advancingBroke ittrust 0.85
+1
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−25
9 further reportseach worth under half a point
Completion probability
75%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

Not enough history yet. The line appears after a few recalculations.