Manchester United F.C.Everton F.C. · Loan · Summer 2026

It did not happen
last read 8% before it was settled
  1. Rumoured
    1 Sept
  2. Talks
    1 Sept
  3. Agreement
    1 Sept
  4. Medical
  5. Done

Catch me up

  1. 1 Septfirst@MatteMoretto: esJoshua Zirkzee moves to Everton.
  2. 1 SeptJoined by @FabrizioRomano, @JacobsBen, @TEAMtalk, @David_Ornstein
  3. 1 SeptDenial@JacobsBen: Manchester United have decided to keep Joshua Zirkzee; Everton move is off

What was actually said

10 posts in 5 claims, grouped by stage and direction.

Denied outright

Denialone report

Denied outright

Denialone report
JournalistTier 2weighted 0.55counted at 60%claims RumouredView on X ↗

Reported as done

Advancingone report

esJoshua Zirkzee moves to Everton.

JournalistTier 1weighted 0.75counted at 36%claims DoneView on X ↗

Reported as being in talks

Advancing6 reports, led by @JacobsBen
JournalistTier 2weighted 0.55counted at 22%claims TalksView on X ↗
5 other posts, 2 other sources on the same claim
  • @TEAMtalk15d agono effect

    Everton have reportedly turned to Manchester United's Joshua Zirkzee after £40m target Folarin Balogun failed his medical 🇳🇱 https://t.co/MJmPSrigvi

  • @JacobsBen15d agono effect

    BREAKING: Joshua Zirkzee to Everton on loan is close to being agreed. https://t.co/SaBZJGbZRr

  • @TEAMtalk15d agono effect

    Everton have made an emergency bid for Joshua Zirkzee, with their move for Folarin Balogun now in doubt 😬 Everton say the Balogun deal is still being worked on, but Zirkzee has been identified as a last-ditch alternative ⤵️ @HJWatkinson | #EFC https://t.co/gv2kXVBDGN

  • @David_Ornstein15d agono effect

    🚨 Everton make bid to sign Joshua Zirkzee from Manchester United amid Folarin Balogun uncertainty. Zirkzee keen on #EFC option - #MUFC must decide if ready to allow Netherlands international to leave ahead window closing. W/ @lauriewhitwell @TheAthleticFC https://t.co/jWqvI11aPj

  • @JacobsBen15d agono effect

    Understand Everton's loan offer for Zirkzee includes a buy option.🇳🇱 https://t.co/6xbNaVxcKd

Mentioned, no claim either way

Neutralone report
JournalistTier 1weighted 0.75counted at 8%claims TalksView on X ↗

Why it read 8% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+29
FabrizioRomano denialBroke ittrust 0.75
−17
JacobsBen denialBroke ittrust 0.55, counted at 60%
−4
MatteMoretto advancingBroke ittrust 0.75, counted at 36%
+2
JacobsBen advancingBroke ittrust 0.55, counted at 22%
+1
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−3
6 further reportseach worth under half a point
Completion probability
8%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

2045751 Sept: 7%1 Sept: 7%2 Sept: 8%1 Sept1 Sept2 Sept
3 recomputations 1 points over the trail