TransferHype
Winter 2027

Mauro Icardi

FW

Unknown club → SS Lazio · Winter 2027

27%
Possible
first reported 6d agolast moved 6d ago
  1. Rumoured
    14 Sept
  2. Talks
    14 Sept
  3. Agreement
    —
  4. Medical
    —
  5. Done
    —

Contested — 3 clubs

Each figure is what one club's own reports support, reduced because he can only sign for one of them. They add up to the chance he moves at all, not to 100.

What was actually said

1 post in 1 claim, grouped by stage and direction.

Reported as being in talks

Advancingone report

itLazio have resumed contact with Icardi's agent; the Argentine is now more inclined towards a transfer

JournalistTier 2weighted 0.70claims Talksname shared — matched from contextView on X ↗

Why 27%

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+26
DiMarzio advancingBroke ittrust 0.70, 54% faded
+7
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−6
Completion probability
27%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457514 Sept: 38%14 Sept: 38%14 Sept: 38%14 Sept: 38%14 Sept: 38%14 Sept: 37%14 Sept: 37%14 Sept: 37%14 Sept: 37%14 Sept: 37%14 Sept: 37%15 Sept: 37%15 Sept: 37%15 Sept: 37%15 Sept: 37%15 Sept: 36%15 Sept: 36%15 Sept: 36%15 Sept: 36%15 Sept: 36%15 Sept: 36%15 Sept: 36%15 Sept: 36%15 Sept: 36%15 Sept: 36%15 Sept: 36%15 Sept: 36%15 Sept: 35%15 Sept: 35%15 Sept: 35%15 Sept: 35%15 Sept: 35%15 Sept: 35%15 Sept: 35%15 Sept: 35%16 Sept: 35%16 Sept: 35%16 Sept: 35%16 Sept: 34%16 Sept: 34%16 Sept: 34%16 Sept: 34%16 Sept: 34%16 Sept: 34%16 Sept: 34%16 Sept: 34%16 Sept: 34%16 Sept: 34%16 Sept: 34%16 Sept: 34%16 Sept: 34%16 Sept: 33%16 Sept: 33%16 Sept: 33%16 Sept: 33%16 Sept: 33%16 Sept: 33%16 Sept: 33%16 Sept: 33%17 Sept: 33%17 Sept: 33%17 Sept: 33%17 Sept: 33%17 Sept: 33%17 Sept: 32%17 Sept: 32%17 Sept: 32%17 Sept: 32%17 Sept: 32%17 Sept: 32%17 Sept: 32%17 Sept: 32%17 Sept: 32%17 Sept: 32%17 Sept: 32%17 Sept: 32%17 Sept: 32%17 Sept: 31%17 Sept: 29%17 Sept: 29%17 Sept: 29%17 Sept: 29%17 Sept: 29%18 Sept: 29%18 Sept: 29%18 Sept: 28%18 Sept: 28%18 Sept: 28%18 Sept: 28%18 Sept: 28%18 Sept: 28%18 Sept: 28%18 Sept: 28%18 Sept: 28%18 Sept: 28%18 Sept: 28%18 Sept: 28%18 Sept: 28%18 Sept: 28%18 Sept: 28%18 Sept: 28%18 Sept: 28%18 Sept: 27%18 Sept: 27%18 Sept: 27%18 Sept: 27%18 Sept: 29%18 Sept: 29%19 Sept: 29%19 Sept: 29%19 Sept: 29%19 Sept: 29%19 Sept: 29%19 Sept: 28%19 Sept: 28%19 Sept: 28%19 Sept: 28%19 Sept: 28%19 Sept: 28%19 Sept: 28%19 Sept: 28%19 Sept: 28%19 Sept: 28%19 Sept: 28%19 Sept: 28%19 Sept: 28%19 Sept: 28%19 Sept: 28%19 Sept: 28%19 Sept: 28%19 Sept: 27%19 Sept: 27%20 Sept: 27%20 Sept: 27%14 Sept17 Sept20 Sept
134 recomputations▼ 11 points over the trail