to Lazio · Winter 2027

It did not happen
last read 14% before it was settled
  1. Rumoured
    14 Sept
  2. Talks
    —
  3. Agreement
    —
  4. Medical
    —
  5. Done
    —

Contested — 2 clubs

Each figure is what one club's own reports support, reduced because he can only sign for one of them. They add up to the chance he moves at all, not to 100.

What was actually said

1 post in 1 claim, grouped by stage and direction.

Reported as being in talks

Advancingone report

itLazio have resumed contact with Icardi's agent; the Argentine is now more inclined towards a transfer

.@OfficialSSLazio, ripresi i contatti con l’agente di Icardi: l’argentino ora è più propenso al trasferimento

claims Talksname shared — matched from contextView on X ↗

Why it read 14% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+16
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−3
1 further reporteach worth under half a point
Completion probability
14%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457514 Sept20 Sept7 Oct
565 recomputations▼ 24 points over the trail