TransferHype
Winter 2027

Richarlison

FW

Tottenham Hotspur F.C. → Everton F.C. · Permanent · Winter 2027

22%
Possible
first reported 3d agolast moved 3d ago
  1. Rumoured
    16 Sept
  2. Talks
    —
  3. Agreement
    —
  4. Medical
    —
  5. Done
    —

Contested — 3 clubs

Each figure is what one club's own reports support, reduced because he can only sign for one of them. They add up to the chance he moves at all, not to 100.

What was actually said

1 post in 1 claim, grouped by stage and direction.

Reported as being in talks

Advancingone report

Why 22%

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+12
TEAMtalk advancingBroke ittrust 0.51
+5
Turned down a new contractreported by @FabrizioRomano — about the player, not this move
+13
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−7
Completion probability
22%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457517 Sept: 34%17 Sept: 34%17 Sept: 34%17 Sept: 34%17 Sept: 34%17 Sept: 34%17 Sept: 34%17 Sept: 34%17 Sept: 34%17 Sept: 34%17 Sept: 34%17 Sept: 34%17 Sept: 34%17 Sept: 34%17 Sept: 34%17 Sept: 34%17 Sept: 34%17 Sept: 34%17 Sept: 33%17 Sept: 33%17 Sept: 33%17 Sept: 33%17 Sept: 33%18 Sept: 33%18 Sept: 33%18 Sept: 33%18 Sept: 33%18 Sept: 33%18 Sept: 33%18 Sept: 33%18 Sept: 33%18 Sept: 33%18 Sept: 33%18 Sept: 33%18 Sept: 33%18 Sept: 33%18 Sept: 33%18 Sept: 33%18 Sept: 33%18 Sept: 33%18 Sept: 33%18 Sept: 33%18 Sept: 33%18 Sept: 32%18 Sept: 32%18 Sept: 32%18 Sept: 22%18 Sept: 22%19 Sept: 22%19 Sept: 22%19 Sept: 22%18 Sept: −10 points, with no new post17 Sept18 Sept19 Sept
51 recomputations▼ 12 points over the trail
  1. −105h agono new post; decay or a rival moving