Arsenal remain very interested in Eli Junior Kroupi, and that has got the striker's attention 👀 Bournemouth, however, have zero intention of parting ways with the 20-year-old in January ❌ @GraemeBailey | #AFC #AFCB https://t.co/oQuWoPZTQQ
Bournemouth → Arsenal · Permanent · Winter 2027
Will Eli Junior Kroupi join Arsenal? Unlikely for now: 8%, still a rumour, on 4 posts since 17 Sep.
8%
Unlikely
first reported 2mo agolast moved 3d ago
- Rumoured17 Sept
- Talks—
- Agreement—
- Medical—
- Done—
Contested — 3 clubs
Each figure is what one club's own reports support, reduced because he can only sign for one of them. They add up to the chance he moves at all, not to 100.
- since 29 Oct · 1 post
- ArsenalRumoured8%since 17 Sept · 4 posts
- since 25 Oct · 2 posts
What was actually said
4 posts in 3 claims, grouped by stage and direction.
Said to be cooling
Coolingone reportReported as a live interest
Advancing2 reports, led by @TEAMtalk@TEAMtalk had it first, 2mo ago
Mentioned, no claim either way
Neutralone reportclaims RumouredView on X ↗
Why 8%
Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+12
TEAMtalk coolingBroke ittrust 0.52
−3
TEAMtalk advancingtrust 0.52, repeating (2nd to say it, 50%), counted at 60%
+1
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−2
2 further reportseach worth under half a point
Completion probability
8%
Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.