Bournemouth → Tottenham Hotspur · Permanent · Winter 2027

Will Eli Junior Kroupi join Tottenham Hotspur? Unlikely for now: 8%, still a rumour, on 2 posts since 25 Oct.

8%
Unlikely
first reported 12d agolast moved 4d ago
  1. Rumoured
    25 Oct
  2. Talks
    —
  3. Agreement
    —
  4. Medical
    —
  5. Done
    —

Contested — 3 clubs

Each figure is what one club's own reports support, reduced because he can only sign for one of them. They add up to the chance he moves at all, not to 100.

What was actually said

2 posts in 2 claims, grouped by stage and direction.

Said to be cooling

Coolingone report

⚪️Tottenham have learned the chances of signing Eli Junior Kroupi from Bournemouth in January #THFC https://t.co/tzpNnpyLDa

claims Rumoured−2 pointsView on X ↗

Reported as a live interest

Advancingone report

Tottenham are being heavily tipped to beat rivals to the £100m signing of Bournemouth striker Eli Junior Kroupi in January 🙏 #THFC https://t.co/Eei1a40R46

claims Rumoured+1 pointView on X ↗

Why 8%

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+11
TEAMtalk coolingBroke ittrust 0.52, 46% faded
−2
TEAMtalk advancingBroke ittrust 0.52, 80% faded, counted at 60%
+1
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−2
Completion probability
8%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

2045751 Nov: −4 points, after @TEAMtalk25 Oct29 Oct6 Nov
270 recomputations▼ 9 points over the trail
  1. −44d ago@TEAMtalk: Tottenham have learned the chances of signing Eli Junior Kroupi from Bournemouth in January are low