Bournemouth → Manchester United · Winter 2027

Will Eli Junior Kroupi join Manchester United? Unlikely for now: 10%, still a rumour, on 1 post since 29 Oct.

10%
Unlikely
first reported 8d agolast moved 8d ago
  1. Rumoured
    29 Oct
  2. Talks
    —
  3. Agreement
    —
  4. Medical
    —
  5. Done
    —

Contested — 3 clubs

Each figure is what one club's own reports support, reduced because he can only sign for one of them. They add up to the chance he moves at all, not to 100.

What was actually said

1 post in 1 claim, grouped by stage and direction.

Mentioned, no claim either way

Neutralone report

🚨🆕 Arsenal and Manchester United have joined the race for Eli Junior Kroupi! Bournemouth won't make things easy for Kroupi's growing list of suitors, however... ⤵️ @GraemeBailey | #AFC #MUFC #AFCB https://t.co/XosGEM8JpA

claims Rumoured+1 pointView on X ↗

Why 10%

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+11
TEAMtalk neutralBroke ittrust 0.52, 65% faded
+1
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−2
Completion probability
10%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457529 Oct5 Nov
173 recomputations▼ 1 points over the trail