Bayern Munich → Tottenham Hotspur · Winter 2027

Will Kim Min-Jae join Tottenham Hotspur? Unlikely for now: 8%, still a rumour, on 3 posts since 27 Sep.

8%
Unlikely
first reported 1mo agolast moved 1mo ago
  1. Rumoured
    27 Sept
  2. Talks
    —
  3. Agreement
    —
  4. Medical
    —
  5. Done
    —

Contested — 3 clubs

Each figure is what one club's own reports support, reduced because he can only sign for one of them. They add up to the chance he moves at all, not to 100.

What was actually said

3 posts in 2 claims, grouped by stage and direction.

Reported as being in talks

Advancingone report

⚪️Tottenham contact for Kim Min-jae has been confirmed by an insider #THFC https://t.co/mtRwBGFcV6

claims TalksView on X ↗

Mentioned, no claim either way

Neutral2 reports, led by @TEAMtalk

Kim Min-jae is facing an uncertain future at Bayern Munich 👀 Tottenham and Aston Villa are among the clubs interested in the defender ⤵️ @FrazFletcher | #THFC #AVFC https://t.co/qJiDevwzlZ

claims RumouredView on X ↗
1 other post on the same claim
  • @TEAMtalk1mo ago ↗

    Bayern Munich are open to selling Kim-min Jae if the right offer arrives, amid interest from Tottenham 🇰🇷 https://t.co/g9ff6HJwHl

Why 8%

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+9
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−2
3 further reportseach worth under half a point
Completion probability
8%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457527 Sept4 Oct5 Nov
952 recomputations▼ 10 points over the trail