Atlético PR → Tottenham Hotspur · Winter 2027

Will Arthur Dias join Tottenham Hotspur? Unlikely for now: 9%, still a rumour, on 4 posts since 11 Sep.

9%
Unlikely
first reported 2mo agolast moved 16d ago
  1. Rumoured
    11 Sept
  2. Talks
    —
  3. Agreement
    —
  4. Medical
    —
  5. Done
    —

Contested — 5 clubs

Each figure is what one club's own reports support, reduced because he can only sign for one of them. They add up to the chance he moves at all, not to 100.

What was actually said

4 posts in 2 claims, grouped by stage and direction.

Mentioned, no claim either way

Neutral3 reports, led by @TEAMtalk@TEAMtalk had it first, 2mo ago

Tottenham's chances of signing Athletico Paranaense sensation Arthur Dias in January could be scuppered by Barcelona 😨 #THFC #BarcelonaFC https://t.co/kFGRyr3Xj3

claims RumouredView on X ↗
2 other posts on the same claim
  • @TEAMtalk2mo ago ↗

    ⚪️Tottenham are reportedly planning new approaches for Brazilian centre-back Arthur Dias, who's impressing Carlo Ancelotti, too #THFC https://t.co/pMklskyjjr

  • @TEAMtalk2mo ago ↗

    Tottenham have joined the race to sign exciting defender Arthur Dias, who has just received his first senior Brazil call up 🇧🇷 Newcastle, Nottingham Forest and Brentford are also interested in the 19-year-old 🔥 @GraemeBailey | #THFC https://t.co/2KT316LdeV

Reported as a live interest

Advancingone report

Tottenham lead the race to sign Arthur Dias, sources tell TEAMtalk @FrazFletcher | #THFC https://t.co/I6YBlHxsC8

claims RumouredView on X ↗

Why 9%

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+10
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−2
4 further reportseach worth under half a point
Completion probability
9%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

2045757 Oct8 Oct5 Nov
708 recomputations▼ 1 points over the trail