Atlético PR → Barcelona · Winter 2027

Will Arthur Dias join Barcelona? Unlikely for now: 9%, still a rumour, on 1 post since 20 Oct.

9%
Unlikely
first reported 16d agolast moved 16d ago
  1. Rumoured
    20 Oct
  2. Talks
    —
  3. Agreement
    —
  4. Medical
    —
  5. Done
    —

Contested — 5 clubs

Each figure is what one club's own reports support, reduced because he can only sign for one of them. They add up to the chance he moves at all, not to 100.

What was actually said

1 post in 1 claim, grouped by stage and direction.

Mentioned, no claim either way

Neutralone report

Tottenham's chances of signing Athletico Paranaense sensation Arthur Dias in January could be scuppered by Barcelona 😨 #THFC #BarcelonaFC https://t.co/kFGRyr3Xj3

claims RumouredView on X ↗

Why 9%

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+10
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−2
1 further reporteach worth under half a point
Completion probability
9%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457521 Oct23 Oct5 Nov
383 recomputations▼ 2 points over the trail