TransferHype
Winter 2027

Arthur Dias

—

Atlético PR → Newcastle · Winter 2027

Will Arthur Dias join Newcastle? Unlikely for now: 2%, still a rumour, on 1 post since 14 Sep.

2%
Unlikely
first reported 2mo agolast moved 2mo ago
  1. Rumoured
    14 Sept
  2. Talks
    —
  3. Agreement
    —
  4. Medical
    —
  5. Done
    —

Contested — 5 clubs

Each figure is what one club's own reports support, reduced because he can only sign for one of them. They add up to the chance he moves at all, not to 100.

What was actually said

1 post in 1 claim, grouped by stage and direction.

Mentioned, no claim either way

Neutralone report

Tottenham have joined the race to sign exciting defender Arthur Dias, who has just received his first senior Brazil call up 🇧🇷 Newcastle, Nottingham Forest and Brentford are also interested in the 19-year-old 🔥 @GraemeBailey | #THFC https://t.co/2KT316LdeV

claims RumouredView on X ↗

Why 2%

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+9
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−6
1 further reporteach worth under half a point
Completion probability
2%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

2045757 Oct21 Oct5 Nov
708 recomputations▼ 1 points over the trail