TransferHype
Winter 2027

Geny Catamo

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Sporting CP → Newcastle · Winter 2027

Will Geny Catamo join Newcastle? Unlikely for now: 8%, still a rumour, on 2 posts since 14 Sep.

8%
Unlikely
first reported 2mo agolast moved 16d ago
  1. Rumoured
    14 Sept
  2. Talks
    —
  3. Agreement
    —
  4. Medical
    —
  5. Done
    —

Contested — 6 clubs

Each figure is what one club's own reports support, reduced because he can only sign for one of them. They add up to the chance he moves at all, not to 100.

What was actually said

2 posts in 1 claim, grouped by stage and direction.

Mentioned, no claim either way

Neutral2 reports, led by @TEAMtalk@TEAMtalk had it first, 2mo ago

Sunderland are ready to make another big attempt to sign Sporting CP winger Geny Catamo in January 🔥 However, they will face competition for the 25-year-old, with Newcastle among his other suitors... ⤵️ @GraemeBailey | #SAFC #NUFC https://t.co/yqtifDxlsC

claims RumouredView on X ↗
1 other post on the same claim
  • @TEAMtalk2mo ago ↗

    Sunderland remain interested in Sporting CP winger Geny Catamo, but they'll face intense competition in January 👀 Newcastle, Brighton, Brentford and Nottingham Forest are also interested in the 25-year-old 🔥 @GraemeBailey | #SAFC #NUFC https://t.co/6uJt1xY0Cy

Why 8%

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+10
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−2
2 further reportseach worth under half a point
Completion probability
8%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457521 Oct: +7 points, after @TEAMtalk7 Oct21 Oct5 Nov
708 recomputations▲ 6 points over the trail
  1. +715d ago@TEAMtalk: Newcastle among suitors for Geny Catamo