Sporting CP → Brighton · Winter 2027

Will Geny Catamo join Brighton? Unlikely for now: 2%, still a rumour, on 1 post since 14 Sep.

2%
Unlikely
first reported 2mo agolast moved 2mo ago
  1. Rumoured
    14 Sept
  2. Talks
    —
  3. Agreement
    —
  4. Medical
    —
  5. Done
    —

Contested — 6 clubs

Each figure is what one club's own reports support, reduced because he can only sign for one of them. They add up to the chance he moves at all, not to 100.

What was actually said

1 post in 1 claim, grouped by stage and direction.

Mentioned, no claim either way

Neutralone report

Sunderland remain interested in Sporting CP winger Geny Catamo, but they'll face intense competition in January 👀 Newcastle, Brighton, Brentford and Nottingham Forest are also interested in the 25-year-old 🔥 @GraemeBailey | #SAFC #NUFC https://t.co/6uJt1xY0Cy

claims RumouredView on X ↗

Why 2%

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+9
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−6
1 further reporteach worth under half a point
Completion probability
2%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

2045757 Oct6 Nov
709 recomputations▲ 0 points over the trail