⛔️🇧🇷 José Mourinho stops any January exit for Endrick as he did when Aston Villa, AC Milan and AS Roma asked for the Brazilian in August. Club + coach on the same page on Endrick, Vini Jr and more. ⤵️ @DAZN_ES @DAZNFutbol https://t.co/d0PHSYec8S
Real Madrid → Tottenham Hotspur · Winter 2027
Will Endrick join Tottenham Hotspur? Unlikely for now: 8%, still a rumour, on 3 posts since 9 Oct.
8%
Unlikely
first reported 27d agolast moved 18d ago
- Rumoured9 Oct
- Talks—
- Agreement—
- Medical—
- Done—
Contested — 3 clubs
Each figure is what one club's own reports support, reduced because he can only sign for one of them. They add up to the chance he moves at all, not to 100.
- Tottenham HotspurRumoured8%since 9 Oct · 3 posts
- since 7 Oct · 3 posts
- since 19 Sept · 3 posts
Catch me up
- 9 Octfirst@footyinsider247: Tottenham have been given the green light to make a move for Endrick from Real Madrid
- 16 OctDenial@FabrizioRomano: José Mourinho stops any January exit for Endrick as Aston Villa asked for him in August
- 16 OctJoined by @FabrizioRomano
- 18 OctJoined by @TEAMtalk
What was actually said
3 posts in 3 claims, grouped by stage and direction.
Denied outright
Denialone reportMentioned, no claim either way
Neutralone reportclaims RumouredView on X ↗
Reported as a live interest
Advancingone reportclaims RumouredView on X ↗
Why 8%
Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+10
Fabrizio Romano denialBroke ittrust 0.82, 94% faded
−1
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−1
2 further reportseach worth under half a point
Completion probability
8%
Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.
Probability over time
- −719d agono new post: we re-read the reporting