TransferHype
Winter 2027

Erling Haaland

FW

Manchester City → Barcelona · Summer 2027

Will Erling Haaland join Barcelona? Unlikely for now: 8%, still a rumour, on 1 post since 2 Oct.

8%
Unlikely
first reported 1mo agolast moved 1mo ago
  1. Rumoured
    2 Oct
  2. Talks
    —
  3. Agreement
    —
  4. Medical
    —
  5. Done
    —

Contested — 3 clubs

Each figure is what one club's own reports support, reduced because he can only sign for one of them. They add up to the chance he moves at all, not to 100.

What was actually said

1 post in 1 claim, grouped by stage and direction.

Reported as a live interest

Advancingone report

🚨 Arsenal DO have the funds to submit a huge bid for Erling Haaland, but Barcelona are favourites to sign the striker 🎙️ @GraemeBailey with the latest on the #MCFC star, via our new podcast #AFC #FCB https://t.co/JJ6uAt8RjX

claims RumouredView on X ↗

Why 8%

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+9
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−1
1 further reporteach worth under half a point
Completion probability
8%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457511 Oct16 Oct6 Nov
609 recomputations▼ 3 points over the trail