Brighton → Chelsea · Winter 2027
Will Yasin Ayari join Chelsea? Unlikely for now: 10%, still a rumour, on 3 posts since 21 Oct.
10%
Unlikely
first reported 16d agolast moved 9d ago
- Rumoured21 Oct
- Talks—
- Agreement—
- Medical—
- Done—
Contested — 3 clubs
Each figure is what one club's own reports support, reduced because he can only sign for one of them. They add up to the chance he moves at all, not to 100.
- ChelseaRumoured10%since 21 Oct · 3 posts
- since 21 Oct · 1 post
- since 5 Oct · 1 post
What was actually said
3 posts in 2 claims, grouped by stage and direction.
Reported as a live interest
Advancingone reportMentioned, no claim either way
Neutral2 reports, led by @TEAMtalk@TEAMtalk had it first, 16d agoclaims RumouredView on X ↗
Why 10%
Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+11
TEAMtalk advancingBroke ittrust 0.52, 88% faded
+1
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−2
3 further reportseach worth under half a point
Completion probability
10%
Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.