Brighton → Galatasaray · Winter 2027

Will Yasin Ayari join Galatasaray? Unlikely for now: 8%, still a rumour, on 1 post since 21 Oct.

8%
Unlikely
first reported 16d agolast moved 16d ago
  1. Rumoured
    21 Oct
  2. Talks
    —
  3. Agreement
    —
  4. Medical
    —
  5. Done
    —

Contested — 3 clubs

Each figure is what one club's own reports support, reduced because he can only sign for one of them. They add up to the chance he moves at all, not to 100.

What was actually said

1 post in 1 claim, grouped by stage and direction.

Mentioned, no claim either way

Neutralone report

🆕🚨 Chelsea have joined Galatasaray in the race for Brighton star Yasin Ayari! The Seagulls face a fight to keep the midfielder as they push to tie him down to a new contract ⤵️ @GraemeBailey | #CFC #BHAFC https://t.co/alWCjJIxLD

claims RumouredView on X ↗

Why 8%

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+10
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−2
2 further reportseach worth under half a point
Completion probability
8%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457521 Oct: +3 points, with no post on this move: news on a rival destination21 Oct27 Oct5 Nov
371 recomputations▲ 4 points over the trail
  1. +315d agonews on a rival destination