Barcelona → Paris Saint-Germain · Permanent · Winter 2027

Will Fermín López join Paris Saint-Germain? Unlikely for now: 7%, still a rumour, on 1 post since 28 Oct.

7%
Unlikely
first reported 9d agolast moved 9d ago
  1. Rumoured
    28 Oct
  2. Talks
    —
  3. Agreement
    —
  4. Medical
    —
  5. Done
    —

Contested — 3 clubs

Each figure is what one club's own reports support, reduced because he can only sign for one of them. They add up to the chance he moves at all, not to 100.

What was actually said

1 post in 1 claim, grouped by stage and direction.

Reported as a live interest

Advancingone report

🚨 EXCLUSIVE 🚨 Sources confirm Chelsea and PSG are both prepared to make BIG offers for Fermin Lopez @daiIybriefing Barcelona are under pressure to sell, meaning Fermin could move if the money is right...💰👀 Full story to follow... https://t.co/vwZmgOeGPP

claims Rumoured+1 pointView on X ↗

Why 7%

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+11
CaughtOffside advancingBroke ittrust 0.40, 70% faded
+1
Signed a new contractreported by @TEAMtalk — about the player, not this move
−5
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−1
Completion probability
7%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457529 Oct: +4 points, with no post on this move: news on a rival destination28 Oct29 Oct5 Nov
203 recomputations▲ 2 points over the trail
  1. +48d agonews on a rival destination