Bayer 04 Leverkusen → Tottenham Hotspur · Winter 2027

Will Ibrahim Maza join Tottenham Hotspur? Unlikely for now: 9%, still a rumour, on 2 posts since 29 Oct.

9%
Unlikely
first reported 8d agolast moved 7d ago
  1. Rumoured
    29 Oct
  2. Talks
    —
  3. Agreement
    —
  4. Medical
    —
  5. Done
    —

Contested — 4 clubs

Each figure is what one club's own reports support, reduced because he can only sign for one of them. They add up to the chance he moves at all, not to 100.

What was actually said

2 posts in 1 claim, grouped by stage and direction.

Mentioned, no claim either way

Neutral2 reports, led by @TEAMtalk

Arsenal and Tottenham are ready to ramp up their interest in Bayer Leverkusen star Ibrahim Maza, but they face competition... 👀 PSG are now showing interest in the 20-year-old attacker, too ⤵️ @GraemeBailey | #AFC #THFC https://t.co/7kX5Ajrt8P

claims Rumoured+1 pointView on X ↗
1 other post on the same claim
  • @TEAMtalk7d ago ↗

    🚨 TEAMtalk understands PSG have added Bayer Leverkusen starlet Ibrahim Maza to their list of potential January transfer targets, alerting Arsenal, Tottenham and Aston Villa 🇩🇿 https://t.co/9wl3cmSV2c

Why 9%

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+11
TEAMtalk neutralBroke ittrust 0.52, 65% faded
+1
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−3
1 further reporteach worth under half a point
Completion probability
9%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457529 Oct2 Nov5 Nov
173 recomputations▼ 1 points over the trail