frPSG will not make an offer for Ibrahim Maza in the winter window
Bayer 04 Leverkusen → Paris Saint-Germain · Winter 2027
Will Ibrahim Maza join Paris Saint-Germain? Unlikely for now: 7%, still a rumour, on 4 posts since 28 Oct.
7%
Unlikely
first reported 8d agolast moved 7d ago
- Rumoured28 Oct
- Talks—
- Agreement—
- Medical—
- Done—
Contested — 4 clubs
Each figure is what one club's own reports support, reduced because he can only sign for one of them. They add up to the chance he moves at all, not to 100.
- since 27 Sept · 4 posts
- since 29 Oct · 2 posts
- since 29 Oct · 1 post
- Paris Saint-GermainRumoured7%since 28 Oct · 4 posts
Where the reporting disagrees
PSG have concrete interest in Ibrahim Maza ahead of the winter window, with the player's side aware of the interest.
frPSG will not make an offer for Ibrahim Maza in the winter window
Catch me up
- 28 Octfirst@Plettigoal: PSG have concrete interest in Ibrahim Maza ahead of the winter window, with the player's side aware of the interest.
- 28 OctDenial@FabriceHawkins: frPSG will not make an offer for Ibrahim Maza in the winter window
- 28 OctJoined by @FabriceHawkins, @TEAMtalk
What was actually said
4 posts in 3 claims, grouped by stage and direction.
Denied outright
Denialone reportReported as a live interest
Advancingone reportMentioned, no claim either way
Neutral2 reports, led by @TEAMtalkclaims RumouredView on X ↗
Why 7%
Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+11
Fabrice Hawkins denialBroke ittrust 0.55, 68% faded
−3
Florian Plettenberg advancingBroke ittrust 0.86, 69% faded, counted at 60%
+1
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−3
2 further reportseach worth under half a point
Completion probability
7%
Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.