Manchester City → Tottenham Hotspur · Permanent · Summer 2026

✓ Confirmedreported done by several independent sources · 2mo ago
67%
final reading before it was settled
first reported 5mo agolast moved 2mo ago
  1. Rumoured
    15 Jun
  2. Talks
    15 Jun
  3. Agreement
    21 Aug
  4. Medical
    21 Aug
  5. Done
    21 Aug

Catch me up

  1. 15 Junfirst@TEAMtalk: Tottenham linked with Savinho from Manchester City
  2. 15 JunReached Talks
  3. 18 JulJoined by @FabrizioRomano
  4. 28 JulJoined by @JacobsBen
  5. 19 AugJoined by @David_Ornstein
  6. 21 AugReached Agreement
  7. 21 AugReached Medical
  8. 21 AugJoined by @Plettigoal
  9. 21 AugReached Done

What was actually said

26 posts in 6 claims, grouped by stage and direction.

Reported as done

Advancing2 reports, led by @JacobsBen@Plettigoal had it first, 3mo ago

Savio's £85m Spurs move informing the valuation for Gakpo.💷 https://t.co/TBtSHhkvOR

claims Done+2 pointsView on X ↗
1 other post, 1 other source on the same claim
  • @Plettigoal3mo ago ↗

    🚨⤵️ Understand Savinho is set to sign a contract with Tottenham until 2031, plus an option for a further year. https://t.co/H0qiLpdtGd

Reported as agreed

Advancingone report

🚨 Tottenham Hotspur reach agreement in principle with Manchester City to sign Savinho. Deal for 22yo Brazil winger £75m + £10m add-ons (£5m of bonuses highly achievable). #THFC to land main target & #MCFC make record sale. W/ @GuillermoRai_ @TheAthleticFC https://t.co/phndbyxbDL

claims Agreement+1 pointView on X ↗

Reported at medical stage

Advancingone report

🚨💥 Savinho to Tottenham - DONE DEAL ✔️ Full agreement reached with Manchester City. Transfer fee for 22 y/o winger around £75m guaranteed plus £10m add-ons. £5m of the bonuses are almost guaranteed. 🥇Club record sale! Deal will be completed pending medical and contract https://t.co/JQ9mPwyXCc

claims MedicalView on X ↗

Reported as a live interest

Advancing4 reports, led by @FabrizioRomano@TEAMtalk had it first, 4mo ago

🚨⚠️ BREAKING: Savinho, not involved in Man City training today. City sources say absence due to illness, as @SamLee reports. Understand Savinho has been clear once again this week: he wants to leave and join Tottenham. ❗️ https://t.co/EACNzBP6Vu

claims RumouredView on X ↗
3 other posts, 1 other source on the same claim
  • @TEAMtalk3mo ago ↗

    Great news for Tottenham in their chase for Man City winger Savinho 😲 #THFC #MCFC https://t.co/OgmKAQ9rbx

  • @TEAMtalk4mo ago ↗

    ⚪️Tottenham signing Manchester City man Savinho is believed to be inevitable, but there's some worry #THFC https://t.co/FHQ8VoWgCL

  • @TEAMtalk4mo ago ↗

    Tottenham want to sign Savinho from Man City next #thfc #mcfc https://t.co/8e3Z3yQm1M

Mentioned, no claim either way

Neutral5 reports, led by @TEAMtalk@TEAMtalk had it first, 5mo ago

⚪️❗️ The latest on Tottenham and their attempts to sign Savinho, Cody Gakpo and Victor Osimhen ⤵️ https://t.co/bjhFsV9Z0m

claims RumouredView on X ↗
4 other posts, 1 other source on the same claim
  • @TEAMtalk3mo ago ↗

    🤔 Savinho and Nicolas Jackson to Tottenham for £125m... good business or bad? Full story 👇 https://t.co/XMhPBxmghx

  • @JacobsBen3mo ago ↗

    Elliot Anderson starts for Manchester City against Arsenal in the Community Shield. Savinho missing from the squad as he could potentially leave for Spurs this window.🔵 https://t.co/Yv6sGym4Go

  • @TEAMtalk3mo ago ↗

    ⚪️Tottenham have made enquiries over Chelsea winger Pedro Neto, while Manchester City's Savinho remains top of the list ✍️@GraemeBailey | #THFC https://t.co/6pO5CzaZ8Y

  • @TEAMtalk5mo ago ↗

    Tottenham's chase for Cody Gakpo has been labelled "nonsense" and used as a tactic to put pressure on Manchester City for Savinho 👀 https://t.co/OJ9h3tuBKu #THFC

Reported as being in talks

Advancing13 reports, led by @TEAMtalk@TEAMtalk had it first, 5mo ago

⚪️ Tottenham are close to signing Savinho from Man City, a journalist has revealed 👀 #THFC https://t.co/9pGoBLBuEi

claims TalksView on X ↗
12 other posts, 3 other sources on the same claim
  • @FabrizioRomano4mo ago ↗

    🚨⚪️ Direct talks between Tottenham and Man City for Savinho have been ongoing for weeks. He’s the clear top target as reported since June and #THFC remain confident. Deal depends on Man City plan for the replacement. 🎥➕ https://t.co/ktd7xhIE94 https://t.co/3A7f8xTiUw

  • @TEAMtalk4mo ago ↗

    Tottenham are closing in on a deal for Man City star Savinho ⌛️ Roberto De Zerbi has decided on the Brazilian as his TOP winger target ✅ @GraemeBailey | #THFC https://t.co/3O6U8ZTdmt

  • @TEAMtalk3mo ago ↗

    ⚪️Tottenham remain in talks over the signing of Manchester City's Savinho, but AC Milan are preparing a bid of their own, per a report #THFC https://t.co/gaE4Qj0rZI

  • @TEAMtalk3mo ago ↗

    ‼️ Tottenham are not happy with Man City and have set a deadline for the signing of wantaway £60m winger Savinho ⌛ @GraemeBailey ✍️ | #THFC #MCFC https://t.co/iiRKrT5vGO

  • @JacobsBen3mo ago ↗

    Savinho has already indicated to Manchester City that he wants to join Spurs. Also wanted the move last summer. A leading target, but dependant on Manchester City's board changing their stance. City could also look to add another attacker. Talks have been ongoing between clubs https://t.co/4rFjPxqfkM

  • @FabrizioRomano3mo ago ↗

    🚨⚪️ Tottenham keep considering Savinho their top priority with Brazilian winger keen on the move. Savio wants to go and #MCFC now aware. Deal now depends on Man City stance as talks have been ongoing since June. 🎥 https://t.co/UBdQ5Jx8C4 https://t.co/EilTqiBoho

  • @David_Ornstein3mo ago ↗

    🚨 Tottenham Hotspur working on double deal to sign Savinho & Omar Marmoush from Manchester City. #THFC aiming to land both 22yo Brazil winger + 27yo Egypt forward as key targets to strengthen attack - not done but talks with #MCFC advancing @TheAthleticFC https://t.co/qeVeKoKzhG

  • @TEAMtalk3mo ago ↗

    🎇 Late-window fireworks at Tottenham! 👋 Cristian Romero sold ✅ Cody Gakpo deal agreed ⌛️ Savinho deal 'absolutely on' Full details 📎 https://t.co/LnEyjk6Wn1

  • @TEAMtalk3mo ago ↗

    Savinho 'really wants Tottenham'... now it's up to Spurs to strike a deal with Manchester City 🗣️ https://t.co/MsIodQF3Zz

  • @TEAMtalk5mo ago ↗

    ❗️⚪️🇧🇷 Tottenham are ready to make an official bid for £60m-rated Savinho and the belief is they'll 'quickly' wrap up the biggest of their TRIPLE COUP worth £135m Full details 👇 https://t.co/xhxZUqH5HD

  • @TEAMtalk3mo ago ↗

    Savinho wants Tottenham, Tottenham want Savinho... does this one get done? @FrazFletcher 🎙️ https://t.co/OhSiLcR3uy

  • @TEAMtalk3mo ago ↗

    👍 Savinho gave a literal thumbs up when asked about joining Tottenham ❗️ Liverpool have also reached a decision on whether or not they're selling Cody Gakpo after Spurs held positive talks with the Dutchman's camp Full details 📎 https://t.co/diuq8jikI0

Why it read 67% before it settled

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+90
Ben Jacobs advancingtrust 0.55, repeating (2nd to say it, 50%)
+2
David Ornstein advancingBroke ittrust 0.75, 77% faded, counted at 60%
+1
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−26
24 further reportseach worth under half a point
Completion probability
67%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

20457516 Aug: −24 points, after @JacobsBen16 Aug: +26 points, with no new post: we re-read the reporting23 Aug: +56 points, after @David_Ornstein, @David_Ornstein, @Plettigoal, @Plettigoal28 Aug: −10 points, with no new post: we re-read the reporting30 Aug: −58 points, after @TEAMtalk, @TEAMtalk, @TEAMtalk, @TEAMtalk, @TEAMtalk, @TEAMtalk, @TEAMtalk, @TEAMtalk, @TEAMtalk, @JacobsBen, @TEAMtalk, @TEAMtalk, @TEAMtalk, @TEAMtalk, @TEAMtalk, @TEAMtalk30 Aug: +18 points, with no new post: we re-read the reporting31 Aug: +29 points, after @JacobsBen15 Aug28 Aug31 Aug
50 recomputations▲ 28 points over the trail
  1. −582mo ago@TEAMtalk: Tottenham linked with Savinho from Manchester City · @TEAMtalk: Tottenham ready to make official bid for Savinho, rated at £60m, expected to wrap up quickly as part of triple coup worth £135m · @TEAMtalk: Tottenham want to sign Savinho from Man City · @TEAMtalk: Tottenham close to signing Savinho from Man City · @TEAMtalk: Tottenham closing in on deal for Savinho; Roberto De Zerbi has identified him as top winger target · @TEAMtalk: Tottenham signing Manchester City's Savinho is believed to be inevitable, though there is some worry · @TEAMtalk: Tottenham in talks to sign Savinho from Manchester City · @TEAMtalk: Tottenham chasing Man City winger Savinho with positive developments · @TEAMtalk: Tottenham have set a deadline for the signing of wantaway winger Savinho from Man City · @JacobsBen: Savinho has indicated to Manchester City he wants to join Spurs; talks ongoing between clubs but dependent on City's board changing stance. · @TEAMtalk: Savinho wants to join Tottenham; the club must now negotiate with Manchester City · @TEAMtalk: Savinho wants to join Tottenham and Tottenham want to sign him · @TEAMtalk: Savinho gave a thumbs up when asked about joining Tottenham · @TEAMtalk: Savinho linked with Tottenham in a potential £125m deal alongside Nicolas Jackson · @TEAMtalk: Manchester City's Savinho remains top of Tottenham's list · @TEAMtalk: Tottenham attempting to sign Savinho
  2. +562mo ago@David_Ornstein: Tottenham working on deal to sign 22yo Brazil winger Savinho from Manchester City, talks advancing · @David_Ornstein: Tottenham reach agreement in principle with Manchester City to sign Savinho for £75m + £10m add-ons · @Plettigoal: Savinho to Tottenham for £75m guaranteed plus £10m add-ons, pending medical and contract · @Plettigoal: Savinho set to sign contract with Tottenham until 2031 with option for further year
  3. +292mo ago@JacobsBen: Savio completed £85m move to Spurs
  4. +263mo agono new post: we re-read the reporting
  5. −243mo ago@JacobsBen: Savinho could potentially leave Manchester City for Spurs this window