Chelsea → Liverpool · Permanent · Winter 2027

Will Estêvão Willian join Liverpool? Unlikely for now: 7%, still a rumour, on 1 post since 17 Sep.

7%
Unlikely
first reported 2mo agolast moved 2mo ago
  1. Rumoured
    17 Sept
  2. Talks
    —
  3. Agreement
    —
  4. Medical
    —
  5. Done
    —

Contested — 4 clubs

Each figure is what one club's own reports support, reduced because he can only sign for one of them. They add up to the chance he moves at all, not to 100.

What was actually said

1 post in 1 claim, grouped by stage and direction.

Said to be cooling

Coolingone report

🔵 Chelsea make feelings clear on allowing Estevao to leave amid surprising £100m links to Liverpool, as Xabi Alonso details private conversations with Brazilian https://t.co/yxqKDPxl6i

claims Rumouredname shared — matched from contextView on X ↗

Why 7%

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+9
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−2
1 further reporteach worth under half a point
Completion probability
7%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

2045757 Oct27 Oct5 Nov
708 recomputations▼ 1 points over the trail