Chelsea → Liverpool · Permanent · Winter 2027
Will Estêvão Willian join Liverpool? Unlikely for now: 7%, still a rumour, on 1 post since 17 Sep.
7%
Unlikely
first reported 2mo agolast moved 2mo ago
- Rumoured17 Sept
- Talks—
- Agreement—
- Medical—
- Done—
Contested — 4 clubs
Each figure is what one club's own reports support, reduced because he can only sign for one of them. They add up to the chance he moves at all, not to 100.
- since 27 Oct · 1 post
- since 28 Sept · 2 posts
- since 29 Sept · 1 post
- LiverpoolRumouredquiet 2mo ago7%since 17 Sept · 1 post
What was actually said
1 post in 1 claim, grouped by stage and direction.
Said to be cooling
Coolingone reportWhy 7%
Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+9
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−2
1 further reporteach worth under half a point
Completion probability
7%
Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.