TransferHype
Winter 2027

Estêvão Willian

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Chelsea → Barcelona · Winter 2027

Will Estêvão Willian join Barcelona? Unlikely for now: 7%, still a rumour, on 2 posts since 28 Sep.

7%
Unlikely
first reported 1mo agolast moved 1mo ago
  1. Rumoured
    28 Sept
  2. Talks
    —
  3. Agreement
    —
  4. Medical
    —
  5. Done
    —

Contested — 4 clubs

Each figure is what one club's own reports support, reduced because he can only sign for one of them. They add up to the chance he moves at all, not to 100.

What was actually said

2 posts in 1 claim, grouped by stage and direction.

Mentioned, no claim either way

Neutral2 reports, led by @TEAMtalk

Barcelona remain interested in Estevao after losing out to Chelsea in the race for his signature 🇧🇷💫 However, the Blues are very reluctant to let him go 🔵 @FrazFletcher | #CFC https://t.co/9kdnUpbS1f

claims Rumouredname shared — matched from contextView on X ↗
1 other post on the same claim
  • @TEAMtalk1mo ago ↗name shared — matched from context

    Chelsea wonderkid Estevao continues to attract admiring glances from Spain’s two biggest clubs, with both Barcelona and Real Madrid keeping close tabs on the young Brazilian, TEAMtalk understands. https://t.co/ziYRz7ihvt

Why 7%

Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+9
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−2
2 further reportseach worth under half a point
Completion probability
7%

Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.

Probability over time

2045757 Oct19 Oct6 Nov
709 recomputations▼ 2 points over the trail