Chelsea → Real Madrid · Winter 2027
Will Estêvão Willian join Real Madrid? Unlikely for now: 7%, still a rumour, on 1 post since 29 Sep.
7%
Unlikely
first reported 1mo agolast moved 1mo ago
- Rumoured29 Sept
- Talks—
- Agreement—
- Medical—
- Done—
Contested — 4 clubs
Each figure is what one club's own reports support, reduced because he can only sign for one of them. They add up to the chance he moves at all, not to 100.
- since 27 Oct · 1 post
- since 28 Sept · 2 posts
- Real MadridRumouredquiet 1mo ago7%since 29 Sept · 1 post
- since 17 Sept · 1 post
What was actually said
1 post in 1 claim, grouped by stage and direction.
Mentioned, no claim either way
Neutralone reportWhy 7%
Starting pointbefore any evidence, from the stage reached
+9
Competing destinationshe cannot sign for two clubs
−2
1 further reporteach worth under half a point
Completion probability
7%
Each report is weighted by how often its source has been right.